All Stories

  1. Why is it difficult to run small hospital departments.
  2. The key elements of maternity capacity planning
  3. Forecasting hospital admissions
  4. How to compare international bed demand and bed occupancy
  5. Hospital bed modelling explained
  6. The gap between policy and reality surrounding NHS winter pressures
  7. The nonspecific effects of certain vaccines could alter winter mortality
  8. Influenza vaccination also affects non-influenza pathogens
  9. A model to compare international hospital bed numbers
  10. Are the effects of influenza vaccination on winter mortality more complex than anticipated?
  11. How to compare international critical care bed numbers
  12. What do the long-term trends in winter mortality reveal?
  13. The ageing population does not correctly predict the need for medical beds (Part 2)
  14. A simple method to validate medical bed number calculations
  15. The ageing population does not correctly predict need for medical beds
  16. Excess winter mortality (EWM) is influenced by multiple factors
  17. THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE COST AND CAPACITY SHOCKS
  18. All English CCGs have very low levels of occupied hospital beds
  19. Excess winter mortality and stalling life expectancy?
  20. How many medical beds does a country need?
  21. Which US states have far too few hospital beds to cope with Covid-19?
  22. Hidden patterns in NHS sickness absence
  23. Curious patterns in hospital bed occupancy
  24. A method to compare hospital bed numbers between countries and regions
  25. NHS Strategic and operational tactical planning for the winter of 2019/20
  26. Unexplained periods of higher International deaths and outbreaks of a new disease type
  27. Will the winter of 2019/20 show unusually high health service demand?
  28. Did austerity cause increased deaths in the UK?
  29. Calendar or financial year data is unreliable for planning
  30. Have the public in the UK been misled about hospital bed numbers?
  31. Trends in deaths and unscheduled care are all behaving in peculiar ways
  32. Winter excess deaths may respond to curious on/off switching earlier in the year
  33. Volatility in end-of-life hospital demand
  34. Deaths and end-of-life workload are unequally distributed throughout the UK
  35. Nearness to death and volatile health and social care costs
  36. Why NHS pressures are going to intensify
  37. Why government austerity in the UK is probably not killing people
  38. International deaths are behaving in ways not thought to be possible
  39. All-Cause Mortality and NHS Sickness Absence Rates in England Show a Lagged Series of Step-Like Changes
  40. Hospital Beds per death (all-causes) as a simple ratio to compare bed numbers between countries
  41. Critical care bed numbers in England
  42. Will deaths in England set a new record in 2018?
  43. Deaths in 2018 in the UK are forecast to be higher than expected
  44. Clinical workload changes with the number of deaths
  45. Do hospital mortality scores contain hidden flaws?
  46. Can deaths be used to predict hospital bed numbers?
  47. Deaths in 2017 in England reached an unexpected high
  48. Unexplained increases in NHS bed occupancy in England point to an infectious source
  49. Reduced maternity length of stay leads to higher neonatal admissions
  50. Unexpected trends in hospital standardized mortality in England
  51. Is this an outbreak of the World Health Organisation's 'Disease X'?
  52. Approximate 7-day long periods of higher hospital bed occupancy
  53. Subtle changes in patient acuity is not properly reflected in the hospital mortality models
  54. Month-to-month variation in end of life healthcare workload
  55. Higher deaths and medical admissions in the UK since 2011
  56. Does Cytomegalovirus (CMV) cause unexpected immune disturbances
  57. Periods of Unexplained Higher Deaths and Medical Admissions Coexist with Changes in Staff Sickness Absence
  58. Mortality and Unscheduled Care – Are We Missing Something of Profound Importance?
  59. Where is growth occurring in NHS admissions?
  60. Acute admissions for thrombosis have decreased during a period of higher medical admissions
  61. Bed occupancy in the English NHS shows on/off switching
  62. Emergency admissions rise when deaths rise
  63. Age-specificity in medical admissions during a period of unexplained higher deaths
  64. What is causing periods of unexplained higher deaths and medical admissions?
  65. Deaths and the number of occupied acute hospital beds
  66. Seasonal variation in end-of-life health and social care work load
  67. Austerity did not cause the rise in deaths in 2015
  68. Deaths in the UK are currently at levels expected 20 years into the future
  69. Seasonal variation in deaths creates patterns in acute and social care workload
  70. Anticipated NHS demand in 2017/18
  71. Was the increase in deaths in 2015 due to austerity?
  72. Hospital deaths and all-cause mortality
  73. What is driving growth in the English NHS?
  74. Why has the winter of 2016/17 been so bad for the NHS?
  75. Closing acute beds in the Sustainability and Transformation Plans
  76. Why demographic forecasting fails to predict hospital bed numbers
  77. Has policy distorted financial forecasting in the English NHS?
  78. Fertility, stillbirth, and gender ratio change in a presumed infectious outbreak
  79. Is the hospital weekend mortality effect real?
  80. Could on/off switching in deaths be due to outbreaks of a pathogen?
  81. Curious on/off switching in deaths indicates a possible new type of infectious outbreak
  82. Step-up and step-down trends in crude death rates in English hospitals
  83. Trend in the proportion in-hospital deaths in England
  84. Using social groups to locate areas with high use of critical care
  85. Standardized hospital mortality rate is sensitive to changes in activity
  86. Deaths and the marginal changes in health care costs
  87. Trends in overnight stay admissions, length of stay and occupied bed days in England
  88. Is length of stay a risk factor in hospital death
  89. Does high bed occupancy increase hospital mortality?
  90. Does hospital standardized mortality actually measure the impact of hospital processes on mortality
  91. Why does hospital bed occupancy seemingly track all-cause mortality?
  92. Unusual trends in NHS staff sickness absence and emergency admissions
  93. A flaw in mortality-based disease surveilance
  94. Follow-up rates are beginning to increase
  95. Recurring periods of higher than expected growth in deaths and medical admissions
  96. Economy of scale in critical care
  97. Factors influencing A&E attendance and waiting times
  98. Calculating hospital bed numbers
  99. Which social groups attend A&E the most
  100. Blood biochemistry and weekend mortality in hospitals
  101. The real reason for the huge NHS overspend
  102. Small-area outbreaks of a new type of infectious agent
  103. Is there a serious flaw in hospital mortality rates?
  104. Did GP surgeries unknowingly spread an infectious outbreak in N.E. Essex
  105. Why did so many people with dementia die in 2014 and 2015?
  106. Is the ageing population the sole cause of rising emergency admissions
  107. Emergency admissions show unexplained spurts of growth
  108. Influenza-like illness and health care costs
  109. Changes in deaths are linked to changes in bed occupancy and health care costs
  110. Unexplained recurring periods of higher death in Western countries
  111. Trends in demand for urgent care
  112. Declining length of stay and future hospital bed numbers
  113. Bed occupancy, efficiency and infectious outbreaks
  114. Is length of stay a reliable efficiency measure in hospital care
  115. A&E admissions: where next?
  116. Waiting time in A&E is exhibiting tipping points
  117. Are emergency admissions contagious?
  118. Understanding growth in emergency admissions
  119. Small area behavior of emergency medical admissions and costs
  120. Forecasting medical emergency admissions
  121. Why are NHS emergency admissions and costs increasing so rapidly
  122. Unexplained increases in adult appendicitis
  123. Unexplained rise in medical admissions at a hospital in 2012
  124. Small-area spread of a new type of infectious agent
  125. Spatial spread of deaths within England and Wales
  126. Recurring periods of higher deaths in Belfast: an infectious aetiology
  127. Roles for Cytomegalovirus (CMV) in autoimmunity
  128. Small-area spread of a new type of infectious agent in Wigan (near Manchester, UK)
  129. Unexpected deaths from dementia in 2012 and 2013 in the UK
  130. High medical bed occupancy leads to cancelled elective operations
  131. Trends in admissions per death
  132. Deaths and medical admissions in Northern Ireland in 2012
  133. Financial volatility in NHS commissioning
  134. Emergency admissions per death
  135. Expected trends in births and deaths to 2037
  136. Unexpected neurological deaths in 2012 in England
  137. Trends in death and end of life costs
  138. Untangling the A&E crisis
  139. Cycles in admissions for neurological conditions
  140. Unexpected changes in outpatient referral
  141. Unexplained trends in urgent care
  142. Why are admissions for aggressive tuberculosis showing cycles?
  143. A novel infectious agent increased medical admissions in Wigan (Manchester) in 2012
  144. Single year of age specific changes in mortality rate
  145. Why are deaths and admissions for respiratory conditions increasing
  146. Unexpected increase in deaths in 2012: which conditions were affected
  147. Is excess winter mortality all it seems
  148. Do cancer costs follow cycles?
  149. Multi-morbidity and trends in elderly admissions
  150. Is the ageing population the real problem?
  151. Trends in A&E attendance
  152. The NHS England review of urgent and emergency care
  153. Hidden complexity in A&E trends
  154. Trends in unscheduled care
  155. Unexplained increase in deaths in 2012
  156. Temperature volatility and health care costs
  157. Understanding average length of stay in US hospitals
  158. Volatile childhood diagnoses and pediatric costs
  159. Financial risk and volatile elderly diagnoses
  160. Novel outbreaks of an unknown agent
  161. Why smaller maternity units have higher costs
  162. Population density and health care costs
  163. A flaw in person-based health care funding
  164. Trends in outpatient follow-up rates in England
  165. Volatile costs in GP commissioning: Insights from medicare
  166. Step-increases in GP referral to dermatology: which conditions?
  167. Financial risk in GP commissioning: the loss ratio
  168. Excess deaths in 2008/09 following admission to hospital
  169. Excess deaths following a procedure in 2008
  170. Increasing GP referrals: jump or infectious push?
  171. Age-related changes in A&E attendance
  172. Which acute specialties contribute to high financial risk in health care commissioning
  173. High risk categories and financial volatility in health care commissioning
  174. Age and volatility (financial risk) in healthcare purchasing/commissioning
  175. End of life and financial risk in health care commissioning
  176. Cancer costs and financial risk in health care purchasing/commissioning
  177. Gender-specific volatility in hospital admissions
  178. The size of a maternity unit influences the average occupancy
  179. Are hospital inpatient costs subject to unacceptable year-to-year volatility?
  180. Do outpatient costs show cyclic behavior?
  181. Financial risk in health care commissioning is very high
  182. Can fluctuations in the gender ratio shed light on health care costs
  183. Hidden patterns in trends in Ambulance call-outs
  184. Is the Health Resource Group (HRG) Tariff fit for purpose?
  185. Re-evaluating financial risk in health care commissioning
  186. Gross errors in local HRG costs create skewing in national costs
  187. Is national average a valid basis for HRG prices
  188. Short stay HRG tariff rewards over use of assessment units
  189. Emergency hospital bed occupancy shows hidden patterns of long-term volatility
  190. Death and future health care expenditure
  191. A paradigm shift for hospital bed occupancy
  192. Which English primary care organisations make lower use of acute hospital beds?
  193. Unexplained international changes in hospital bed occupancy point to a common infectious source
  194. Why the need for single room hospital accommodation?
  195. Everything you wanted to know about hospital bed occupancy but nobody would explain
  196. Emergency department performance and inpatient bed occupancy
  197. Death and the demand for hospital beds
  198. Ratio of bed days per death as a performance tool
  199. Could a virus be behind rising international health care costs?
  200. Long term conditions show cycles in gender-related costs
  201. Costs associated with admission into a Pediatric assessment unit
  202. Cycles in inpatient waiting time in the English NHS
  203. Impact of the A&E target in England
  204. Short stay HRG tariff encourages gaming
  205. Costs in emergency assessment units
  206. Recurring outbreaks of a novel disease in all parts of the UK
  207. Systematic movement in the gender ratio for hospital admissions point to a common source
  208. Which categories of health care expenditure show unexplained step-like increases
  209. Forecasting A&E attendances
  210. Are assumptions in the HRG tariff contrary to real-world cost behavior
  211. Financial risk in health care commissioning
  212. Cyclic behavior of health care activity and costs
  213. Groups of diagnoses for hospital admission show similar patterns over time
  214. Forecasting inpatient demand
  215. Forecasting year-end hospital admissions
  216. Periodic and unexpected increases in inpatient medical care
  217. Benchmarking hospital length of stay in the real world
  218. A cycle of surplus and deficit in health care costs
  219. Apparent specialty-level efficiency in English hospitals
  220. Step-increases in emergency admissions
  221. Cycles in NHS deficit/surplus reflect underlying bed occupancy
  222. Diagnoses associated with higher acute bed usage in the English NHS
  223. Hospital length of stay efficiency
  224. Building smaller hospitals
  225. Techniques for maintaining an outpatient waiting time target
  226. The capacity margin and guaranteed waiting times
  227. Emergency admissions and financial risk in commissioning
  228. Why is financial risk for primary care organisations so high?
  229. Why does the NHS repeatedly run out of beds every winter
  230. Are there recurring patterns in emergency admissions
  231. Trends in emergency admissions
  232. The market forces factor fails to capture all factors relating to hospital costs
  233. Assessing hospital efficiency with the reference cost index
  234. Efficiency comparisons using English HRGs
  235. Costing orthopedic interventions
  236. Limitations of the Healthcare Resource Group (HRG) trim-point
  237. The cost within a HRG varies enormously by specialty
  238. How the HRG tariff has increased day case costs
  239. Excess bed days in the HRG tariff create financial inbalance
  240. Reducing financial risk in health care commissioning by risk sharing
  241. Risk pools to reduce financial risk in health care commissioning
  242. Financial risk in health care commissioning is high
  243. The ionic nutrition of yeast
  244. Ethanol deactivates (switches-off) replicative functions in cells
  245. Biological principles for the effects of ethanol
  246. Permeability of membranes and other tissues to ethanol
  247. The permeability of yeast and other membranes to ethanol
  248. Ethanol increases membrane fluidity
  249. Factors influencing deactivation of yeast cells exposed to ethanol
  250. Specific and osmotic effects of ethanol on yeast fermentation
  251. Role of water activity in ethanol fermentations
  252. Ethanol has dual effects against replication and growth in yeasts
  253. Adaptation to ethanol reduces the rate of death in yeast cells
  254. Biological principles for the effects of carbon dioxide against cells
  255. Two yeasts are better than one in ethanol fermentation