All Stories

  1. The key elements of maternity capacity planning
  2. Forecasting hospital admissions
  3. How to compare international bed demand and bed occupancy
  4. Hospital bed modelling explained
  5. The gap between policy and reality surrounding NHS winter pressures
  6. The nonspecific effects of certain vaccines could alter winter mortality
  7. Influenza vaccination also affects non-influenza pathogens
  8. A model to compare international hospital bed numbers
  9. Are the effects of influenza vaccination on winter mortality more complex than anticipated?
  10. How to compare international critical care bed numbers
  11. What do the long-term trends in winter mortality reveal?
  12. The ageing population does not correctly predict the need for medical beds (Part 2)
  13. A simple method to validate medical bed number calculations
  14. The ageing population does not correctly predict need for medical beds
  15. Excess winter mortality (EWM) is influenced by multiple factors
  16. THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE COST AND CAPACITY SHOCKS
  17. All English CCGs have very low levels of occupied hospital beds
  18. Excess winter mortality and stalling life expectancy?
  19. How many medical beds does a country need?
  20. Which US states have far too few hospital beds to cope with Covid-19?
  21. Hidden patterns in NHS sickness absence
  22. Curious patterns in hospital bed occupancy
  23. A method to compare hospital bed numbers between countries and regions
  24. NHS Strategic and operational tactical planning for the winter of 2019/20
  25. Unexplained periods of higher International deaths and outbreaks of a new disease type
  26. Will the winter of 2019/20 show unusually high health service demand?
  27. Did austerity cause increased deaths in the UK?
  28. Calendar or financial year data is unreliable for planning
  29. Have the public in the UK been misled about hospital bed numbers?
  30. Trends in deaths and unscheduled care are all behaving in peculiar ways
  31. Winter excess deaths may respond to curious on/off switching earlier in the year
  32. Volatility in end-of-life hospital demand
  33. Deaths and end-of-life workload are unequally distributed throughout the UK
  34. Nearness to death and volatile health and social care costs
  35. Why NHS pressures are going to intensify
  36. Why government austerity in the UK is probably not killing people
  37. International deaths are behaving in ways not thought to be possible
  38. All-Cause Mortality and NHS Sickness Absence Rates in England Show a Lagged Series of Step-Like Changes
  39. Hospital Beds per death (all-causes) as a simple ratio to compare bed numbers between countries
  40. Critical care bed numbers in England
  41. Will deaths in England set a new record in 2018?
  42. Deaths in 2018 in the UK are forecast to be higher than expected
  43. Clinical workload changes with the number of deaths
  44. Do hospital mortality scores contain hidden flaws?
  45. Can deaths be used to predict hospital bed numbers?
  46. Deaths in 2017 in England reached an unexpected high
  47. Unexplained increases in NHS bed occupancy in England point to an infectious source
  48. Reduced maternity length of stay leads to higher neonatal admissions
  49. Unexpected trends in hospital standardized mortality in England
  50. Is this an outbreak of the World Health Organisation's 'Disease X'?
  51. Approximate 7-day long periods of higher hospital bed occupancy
  52. Subtle changes in patient acuity is not properly reflected in the hospital mortality models
  53. Month-to-month variation in end of life healthcare workload
  54. Higher deaths and medical admissions in the UK since 2011
  55. Does Cytomegalovirus (CMV) cause unexpected immune disturbances
  56. Periods of Unexplained Higher Deaths and Medical Admissions Coexist with Changes in Staff Sickness Absence
  57. Mortality and Unscheduled Care – Are We Missing Something of Profound Importance?
  58. Where is growth occurring in NHS admissions?
  59. Acute admissions for thrombosis have decreased during a period of higher medical admissions
  60. Bed occupancy in the English NHS shows on/off switching
  61. Emergency admissions rise when deaths rise
  62. Age-specificity in medical admissions during a period of unexplained higher deaths
  63. What is causing periods of unexplained higher deaths and medical admissions?
  64. Deaths and the number of occupied acute hospital beds
  65. Seasonal variation in end-of-life health and social care work load
  66. Austerity did not cause the rise in deaths in 2015
  67. Deaths in the UK are currently at levels expected 20 years into the future
  68. Seasonal variation in deaths creates patterns in acute and social care workload
  69. Anticipated NHS demand in 2017/18
  70. Was the increase in deaths in 2015 due to austerity?
  71. Hospital deaths and all-cause mortality
  72. What is driving growth in the English NHS?
  73. Why has the winter of 2016/17 been so bad for the NHS?
  74. Closing acute beds in the Sustainability and Transformation Plans
  75. Why demographic forecasting fails to predict hospital bed numbers
  76. Has policy distorted financial forecasting in the English NHS?
  77. Fertility, stillbirth, and gender ratio change in a presumed infectious outbreak
  78. Is the hospital weekend mortality effect real?
  79. Could on/off switching in deaths be due to outbreaks of a pathogen?
  80. Curious on/off switching in deaths indicates a possible new type of infectious outbreak
  81. Step-up and step-down trends in crude death rates in English hospitals
  82. Trend in the proportion in-hospital deaths in England
  83. Using social groups to locate areas with high use of critical care
  84. Standardized hospital mortality rate is sensitive to changes in activity
  85. Deaths and the marginal changes in health care costs
  86. Trends in overnight stay admissions, length of stay and occupied bed days in England
  87. Is length of stay a risk factor in hospital death
  88. Does high bed occupancy increase hospital mortality?
  89. Does hospital standardized mortality actually measure the impact of hospital processes on mortality
  90. Why does hospital bed occupancy seemingly track all-cause mortality?
  91. Unusual trends in NHS staff sickness absence and emergency admissions
  92. A flaw in mortality-based disease surveilance
  93. Follow-up rates are beginning to increase
  94. Recurring periods of higher than expected growth in deaths and medical admissions
  95. Economy of scale in critical care
  96. Factors influencing A&E attendance and waiting times
  97. Calculating hospital bed numbers
  98. Which social groups attend A&E the most
  99. Blood biochemistry and weekend mortality in hospitals
  100. The real reason for the huge NHS overspend
  101. Small-area outbreaks of a new type of infectious agent
  102. Is there a serious flaw in hospital mortality rates?
  103. Did GP surgeries unknowingly spread an infectious outbreak in N.E. Essex
  104. Why did so many people with dementia die in 2014 and 2015?
  105. Is the ageing population the sole cause of rising emergency admissions
  106. Emergency admissions show unexplained spurts of growth
  107. Influenza-like illness and health care costs
  108. Changes in deaths are linked to changes in bed occupancy and health care costs
  109. Unexplained recurring periods of higher death in Western countries
  110. Trends in demand for urgent care
  111. Declining length of stay and future hospital bed numbers
  112. Bed occupancy, efficiency and infectious outbreaks
  113. Is length of stay a reliable efficiency measure in hospital care
  114. A&E admissions: where next?
  115. Waiting time in A&E is exhibiting tipping points
  116. Are emergency admissions contagious?
  117. Understanding growth in emergency admissions
  118. Small area behavior of emergency medical admissions and costs
  119. Forecasting medical emergency admissions
  120. Why are NHS emergency admissions and costs increasing so rapidly
  121. Unexplained increases in adult appendicitis
  122. Unexplained rise in medical admissions at a hospital in 2012
  123. Small-area spread of a new type of infectious agent
  124. Spatial spread of deaths within England and Wales
  125. Recurring periods of higher deaths in Belfast: an infectious aetiology
  126. Roles for Cytomegalovirus (CMV) in autoimmunity
  127. Small-area spread of a new type of infectious agent in Wigan (near Manchester, UK)
  128. Unexpected deaths from dementia in 2012 and 2013 in the UK
  129. High medical bed occupancy leads to cancelled elective operations
  130. Trends in admissions per death
  131. Deaths and medical admissions in Northern Ireland in 2012
  132. Financial volatility in NHS commissioning
  133. Emergency admissions per death
  134. Expected trends in births and deaths to 2037
  135. Unexpected neurological deaths in 2012 in England
  136. Trends in death and end of life costs
  137. Untangling the A&E crisis
  138. Cycles in admissions for neurological conditions
  139. Unexpected changes in outpatient referral
  140. Unexplained trends in urgent care
  141. Why are admissions for aggressive tuberculosis showing cycles?
  142. A novel infectious agent increased medical admissions in Wigan (Manchester) in 2012
  143. Single year of age specific changes in mortality rate
  144. Why are deaths and admissions for respiratory conditions increasing
  145. Unexpected increase in deaths in 2012: which conditions were affected
  146. Is excess winter mortality all it seems
  147. Do cancer costs follow cycles?
  148. Multi-morbidity and trends in elderly admissions
  149. Is the ageing population the real problem?
  150. Trends in A&E attendance
  151. The NHS England review of urgent and emergency care
  152. Hidden complexity in A&E trends
  153. Trends in unscheduled care
  154. Unexplained increase in deaths in 2012
  155. Temperature volatility and health care costs
  156. Understanding average length of stay in US hospitals
  157. Volatile childhood diagnoses and pediatric costs
  158. Financial risk and volatile elderly diagnoses
  159. Novel outbreaks of an unknown agent
  160. Why smaller maternity units have higher costs
  161. Population density and health care costs
  162. A flaw in person-based health care funding
  163. Trends in outpatient follow-up rates in England
  164. Volatile costs in GP commissioning: Insights from medicare
  165. Step-increases in GP referral to dermatology: which conditions?
  166. Financial risk in GP commissioning: the loss ratio
  167. Excess deaths in 2008/09 following admission to hospital
  168. Excess deaths following a procedure in 2008
  169. Increasing GP referrals: jump or infectious push?
  170. Age-related changes in A&E attendance
  171. Which acute specialties contribute to high financial risk in health care commissioning
  172. High risk categories and financial volatility in health care commissioning
  173. Age and volatility (financial risk) in healthcare purchasing/commissioning
  174. End of life and financial risk in health care commissioning
  175. Cancer costs and financial risk in health care purchasing/commissioning
  176. Gender-specific volatility in hospital admissions
  177. The size of a maternity unit influences the average occupancy
  178. Are hospital inpatient costs subject to unacceptable year-to-year volatility?
  179. Do outpatient costs show cyclic behavior?
  180. Financial risk in health care commissioning is very high
  181. Can fluctuations in the gender ratio shed light on health care costs
  182. Hidden patterns in trends in Ambulance call-outs
  183. Is the Health Resource Group (HRG) Tariff fit for purpose?
  184. Re-evaluating financial risk in health care commissioning
  185. Gross errors in local HRG costs create skewing in national costs
  186. Is national average a valid basis for HRG prices
  187. Short stay HRG tariff rewards over use of assessment units
  188. Emergency hospital bed occupancy shows hidden patterns of long-term volatility
  189. Death and future health care expenditure
  190. A paradigm shift for hospital bed occupancy
  191. Which English primary care organisations make lower use of acute hospital beds?
  192. Unexplained international changes in hospital bed occupancy point to a common infectious source
  193. Why the need for single room hospital accommodation?
  194. Everything you wanted to know about hospital bed occupancy but nobody would explain
  195. Emergency department performance and inpatient bed occupancy
  196. Death and the demand for hospital beds
  197. Ratio of bed days per death as a performance tool
  198. Could a virus be behind rising international health care costs?
  199. Long term conditions show cycles in gender-related costs
  200. Costs associated with admission into a Pediatric assessment unit
  201. Cycles in inpatient waiting time in the English NHS
  202. Impact of the A&E target in England
  203. Short stay HRG tariff encourages gaming
  204. Costs in emergency assessment units
  205. Recurring outbreaks of a novel disease in all parts of the UK
  206. Systematic movement in the gender ratio for hospital admissions point to a common source
  207. Which categories of health care expenditure show unexplained step-like increases
  208. Forecasting A&E attendances
  209. Are assumptions in the HRG tariff contrary to real-world cost behavior
  210. Financial risk in health care commissioning
  211. Cyclic behavior of health care activity and costs
  212. Groups of diagnoses for hospital admission show similar patterns over time
  213. Forecasting inpatient demand
  214. Forecasting year-end hospital admissions
  215. Periodic and unexpected increases in inpatient medical care
  216. Benchmarking hospital length of stay in the real world
  217. A cycle of surplus and deficit in health care costs
  218. Apparent specialty-level efficiency in English hospitals
  219. Step-increases in emergency admissions
  220. Cycles in NHS deficit/surplus reflect underlying bed occupancy
  221. Diagnoses associated with higher acute bed usage in the English NHS
  222. Hospital length of stay efficiency
  223. Building smaller hospitals
  224. Techniques for maintaining an outpatient waiting time target
  225. The capacity margin and guaranteed waiting times
  226. Emergency admissions and financial risk in commissioning
  227. Why is financial risk for primary care organisations so high?
  228. Why does the NHS repeatedly run out of beds every winter
  229. Are there recurring patterns in emergency admissions
  230. Trends in emergency admissions
  231. The market forces factor fails to capture all factors relating to hospital costs
  232. Assessing hospital efficiency with the reference cost index
  233. Efficiency comparisons using English HRGs
  234. Costing orthopedic interventions
  235. Limitations of the Healthcare Resource Group (HRG) trim-point
  236. The cost within a HRG varies enormously by specialty
  237. How the HRG tariff has increased day case costs
  238. Excess bed days in the HRG tariff create financial inbalance
  239. Reducing financial risk in health care commissioning by risk sharing
  240. Risk pools to reduce financial risk in health care commissioning
  241. Financial risk in health care commissioning is high
  242. The ionic nutrition of yeast
  243. Ethanol deactivates (switches-off) replicative functions in cells
  244. Biological principles for the effects of ethanol
  245. Permeability of membranes and other tissues to ethanol
  246. The permeability of yeast and other membranes to ethanol
  247. Ethanol increases membrane fluidity
  248. Specific and osmotic effects of ethanol on yeast fermentation
  249. Role of water activity in ethanol fermentations
  250. Ethanol has dual effects against replication and growth in yeasts
  251. Adaptation to ethanol reduces the rate of death in yeast cells
  252. Biological principles for the effects of carbon dioxide against cells
  253. Two yeasts are better than one in ethanol fermentation