What is it about?
According to demographic forecasting a cyclic series of admissions should not exist. Neurological (and many other) conditions all shown a recurring series of up/down movements in hospital activity. Such cycles must arise from a primary recurring event.
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Why is it important?
Health care analysts are far too ready to put straight lines through every trend. Simple visual inspection shows that the residuals are not randomly distributed. A common cause is highly likely.
Perspectives
Part of a longer series investigating why health care activity and costs are behaving in unexpected ways, see http://www.hcaf.biz/2010/Publications_Full.pdf
Dr Rodney P Jones
Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Long-term cycles in admissions for neurological conditions, British Journal of Healthcare Management, April 2014, Mark Allen Group,
DOI: 10.12968/bjhc.2014.20.4.192.
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