What is it about?
Data from the UK is used to demonstrate that deaths show an extended time-series of on/off switching, i.e. deaths stay high for a period of 12 months before reverting back to the baseline. This behavior shows spatial spread consistent with an infectious outbreak.
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Why is it important?
On/off switching in deaths has not been previously reported, presumably because no one thought that it was possible.
Perspectives
Interestingly both deaths and medical admissions show parallel on/off switching. This is part of a longer series of papers, see http://www.hcaf.biz/2010/Publications_Full.pdf
Dr Rodney P Jones
Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Outbreaks of a Presumed Infectious Pathogen Creating On/Off Switching in Deaths, SSRN Electronic Journal, January 2017, Elsevier,
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3011819.
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