What is it about?
The trends in outpatient first attendance (as a proxy for GP referral) are showing inexplicable peaks and troughs which are seemingly related to certain conditions.
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Why is it important?
Outpatient first attendance is rising far faster than expected from demography which is blamed on a reduced threshold to referral by GPs. The data is behaving in ways which contradict this common 'old wives tale'.
Perspectives
You cannot solve a problem if you do not understand the real causes. Part of a longer series, see http://www.hcaf.biz/2010/Publications_Full.pdf
Dr Rodney P Jones
Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Unexpected changes in outpatient first attendance, British Journal of Healthcare Management, March 2014, Mark Allen Group,
DOI: 10.12968/bjhc.2014.20.3.142.
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