What is it about?
Cycles of surplus and deficit have existed for many years in both the UK NHS and the health insurance industry in the USA. medical emergency admissions appear to form the basis for this cycle.
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Why is it important?
These cycles are of a long-standing nature and continue despite changes in funding. More recent research has discovered that they occur along side unexplained changes in deaths and show the very small area spread expected from an infectious outbreak.
Perspectives
The NHS has been consistently blamed for these cycles in surplus/deficit. Politicians and the Department of Health seem incapable of acknowledging that a novel type of infectious outbreak may be at work over which the NHS has absolutely no control, see http://www.hcaf.biz/2010/Publications_Full.pdf
Dr Rodney P Jones
Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting
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This page is a summary of: Cyclic factors behind NHS deficits and surpluses, British Journal of Healthcare Management, January 2010, Mark Allen Group,
DOI: 10.12968/bjhc.2010.16.1.45900.
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