What is it about?
This study used a 'Delphi technique' to explore how a region (the North West of the UK) would develop its transport and tourism sectors over a ten year period (2007-2017). The Delphi technique involves consulting experts in the field - in this case, practitioners who are involved in the development and management of transport and tourism resources: academics, tourism and transport officers in local and regional councils, transport operators, passenger rights groups, amongst others. The paper found that experts believed tourism would grow in the region despite the rise of outbound low cost flights. It predicted little change in transport infrastructure for tourism, transport policy or market values of tourists.
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Why is it important?
This research study is important because it shows how a survey of experts can provide an informed prediction on trends in transport and tourism over a relatively long time period. It is also important at the moment because of the timescale of research (ending in 2017), and because many of the predictions have been true.
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Read the Original
This page is a summary of: The Future of Transport and Tourism: A Delphi Approach, Tourism and Hospitality Planning & Development, August 2007, Taylor & Francis,
DOI: 10.1080/14790530701554157.
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