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  1. Deficient ocean–atmosphere feedbacks constrain seasonal NAO prediction

    Article • Weather and Climate Dynamics, March 2026, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  2. Bayesian Recalibration of Upper-Level Wind Regime Indices

    Article • March 2026, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  3. How unlikely was the storm Hans? Reusing extended range forecasts to anticipate unprecedented extremes

    Article • March 2026, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  4. What if farmers had seen it coming? The retrospective potential of extended-range forecasts in managing the 2018 drought in Norwegian agriculture

    Article • Climate Risk Management, March 2026, Elsevier

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  5. Lessons learned from co-developing the new operational subseasonal forecast for laypeople on Yr

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, January 2026, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  6. Skilful subseasonal forecasts of dry spells: a case study for Malawi

    Article • Climate Dynamics, October 2025, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  7. Deficient ocean–atmosphere feedbacks constrain seasonal NAO prediction

    Article • October 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  8. Balancing accuracy versus precision: Enhancing the usability of sub-seasonal forecasts

    Article • Climate Services, August 2025, Elsevier

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  9. Mid‐Latitude Versus Tropical Scales of Predictability and Their Implications for Forecasting

    Article • Meteorological Applications, July 2025, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  10. Balancing Accuracy versus Precision: Enhancing the Usability of Sub-Seasonal Forecasts

    Article • June 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  11. Lessons Learned from the Co-Development and Integration of a Subseasonal Forecast into the Yr weather service

    Article • June 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  12. The 2019–21 drought in southern Madagascar

    Article • Weather and Climate Extremes, December 2024, Elsevier

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  13. Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, August 2024, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  14. How to Engage and Adapt to Unprecedented Extremes

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, August 2024, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  15. Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa

    Article • Nature Communications, March 2024, Springer Science + Business Media

    Mr Salah Sahabi Abed, Dr Erik W Kolstad, Elijah A Adefisan

  16. Sensitivity of Rainfall Extremes to Unprecedented Indian Ocean Dipole Events

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, February 2024, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  17. How Ocean Temperatures in late Autumn Influence Our Winter Weather

    Article • Climate Dynamics, February 2024, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  18. Causal Oceanic Feedbacks onto the Winter NAO

    Article • January 2024, Research Square

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  19. Rainy season onset and cessation over the Greater Horn of Africa area: definitions and forecasts.

    Article • February 2023, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  20. The stratospheric impact on surface weather is unexpectedly diverse

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, October 2022, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad, Amy Butler, Daniela Domeisen, Dr Simon H. Lee

  21. Diverse surface signatures of stratospheric polar vortex anomalies

    Article • July 2022, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad, Dr Simon H. Lee

  22. Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, June 2022, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad, Suzana J. Camargo, Daniele Mastrangelo

  23. Verification of sub-seasonal sea surface temperature forecasts for fish farms along the Norwegian coast

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  24. How are the East African short rains influenced by ocean temperatures?

    Article • Climate Dynamics, February 2022, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  25. Lagged Oceanic Effects on the East African Short Rains

    Article • September 2021, Research Square

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  26. Why do predictions of the short rains in East Africa fail?

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, June 2021, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  27. Tracing North Atlantic Oscillation Forecast Errors to Stratospheric Origins, with a new analysis of the 2021 winter

    Article • March 2021, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  28. Linking long-range weather forecasting busts to the stratosphere

    Article • Journal of Climate, September 2020, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  29. How grid‐spacing and convection representation affected the wind speed forecasts of four polar lows

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, September 2020, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  30. Can we predict tropical cyclones near Mozambique more than a few days ahead?

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, September 2020, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  31. Prediction of Idai and 38 Other Tropical Cyclones and Storms in the Mozambique Channel

    Article • March 2020, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  32. Convection is key to better polar low forecasts

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  33. Nonstationary lagged relationships between the Arctic and the midlatitudes

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  34. Subseasonal Prediction of Idai and Other Tropical Cyclones and Storms in the Mozambique Channel

    Article • December 2019, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  35. The Iceland Greenland Seas Project

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, September 2019, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad, Dr Mattia Almansi, Professor Kent moore

  36. Can we trust statistical predictions of winter weather based on autumn sea ice?

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, June 2019, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  37. Large-scale regional model biases in the extra-tropical North Atlantic storm track and impacts on downstream precipitation

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, June 2019, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  38. Trials, errors and improvements in co-production of climate services

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, April 2019, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  39. Added value from correcting errors in climate models

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, October 2018, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad, Marie Pontoppidan

  40. Using sea surface temperatures in the Arctic to predict temperatures over land one season ahead

    Article • Journal of Climate, October 2018, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  41. Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, April 2018, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  42. Causal Pathways for Temperature Predictability from Snow Depth

    Article • Journal of Climate, December 2017, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  43. During cold air outbreaks over the ocean, the wind speeds increase

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, June 2017, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  44. Quantifying the role of land-atmosphere feedbacks in mediating near-surface temperature persistence

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, April 2017, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  45. The Abisko Polar Prediction School

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, March 2017, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  46. Sensitivity of an apparently hurricane-like polar low to sea-surface temperature

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, January 2017, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  47. Downscaling an intense precipitation event in complex terrain: the importance of high grid resolution

    Article • Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, January 2017, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Erik W Kolstad, Marie Pontoppidan

  48. Re-examining the roles of surface heat flux and latent heat release in a “hurricane-like” polar low over the Barents Sea

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, July 2016, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  49. Intraseasonal Persistence of European Surface Temperatures

    Article • Journal of Climate, July 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  50. Extreme small-scale wind episodes over the Barents Sea: When, where and why?

    Article • Climate Dynamics, January 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  51. A ‘hurricane-like’ polar low fuelled by sensible heat flux: high-resolution numerical simulations

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, February 2012, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  52. The Norwegian IPY–THORPEX: Polar Lows and Arctic Fronts during the 2008 Andøya Campaign

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, November 2011, American Meteorological Society

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  53. IPY-THORPEX

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, October 2011, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  54. Linking past flood frequencies in Norway to regional atmospheric circulation anomalies

    Article • Journal of Quaternary Science, August 2011, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  55. A global climatology of favourable conditions for polar lows

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, August 2011, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  56. The Spitsbergen South Cape tip jet

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, July 2011, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  57. Orographic influence of east Greenland on a polar low over the Denmark Strait

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, May 2011, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  58. Uncertainties Associated with Quantifying Climate Change Impacts on Human Health: A Case Study for Diarrhea

    Article • Environmental Health Perspectives, October 2010, Environmental Health Perspectives

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  59. Observed and simulated precursors of stratospheric polar vortex anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere

    Article • Climate Dynamics, October 2010, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Andrew J Charlton-Perez, Dr Erik W Kolstad

  60. The association between stratospheric weak polar vortex events and cold air outbreaks in the Northern Hemisphere

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, May 2010, Wiley

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  61. Climatology and variability of Southern Hemisphere marine cold-air outbreaks

    Article • Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, March 2010, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  62. Climatology and variability of Southern Hemisphere marine cold-air outbreaks

    Article • Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, January 2010, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  63. Marine cold-air outbreaks in the North Atlantic: temporal distribution and associations with large-scale atmospheric circulation

    Article • Climate Dynamics, June 2008, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  64. A QuikSCAT climatology of ocean surface winds in the Nordic seas: Identification of features and comparison with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, June 2008, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  65. Marine cold-air outbreaks in the future: an assessment of IPCC AR4 model results for the Northern Hemisphere

    Article • Climate Dynamics, November 2007, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  66. A new climatology of favourable conditions for reverse-shear polar lows

    Article • Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, May 2006, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Erik W Kolstad

  67. A new climatology of favourable conditions for reverse-shear polar lows

    Article • Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, January 2006, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Erik W Kolstad