What is it about?

This paper examines the seasonal characteristics of Hong Kong's residential and commercial electricity consumption and develops two novel nonlinear seasonal models.

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Why is it important?

Accurate forecasts of electricity consumption trends and variations are important, because they can help avoid power outages, waste of scarce energy resources, and over investment in capital equipment.


Monthly residential electricity consumption has a quadratic relationship with monthly mean air temperature while monthly commercial electricity consumption has a linear relationship with monthly mean air temperature. Commercial building owners should find ways to reduce ventilation loads, such as adopting heat recovery ventilation systems, etc.

Professor W.M. To
Macao Polytechnic University

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This page is a summary of: Modeling of Monthly Residential and Commercial Electricity Consumption Using Nonlinear Seasonal Models—The Case of Hong Kong, Energies, June 2017, MDPI AG, DOI: 10.3390/en10070885.
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