What is it about?
We describe a range of perturbation methodologies to account for uncertainties in the initial conditions, forecast model, surface, and lateral boundary conditions of a convection-permitting ensemble prediction system used for weather forecasting.
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Why is it important?
We describe a state-of-the art ensemble prediction system that is used for operations in many European weather services, and also discuss possible ways for improvements.
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: HarmonEPS—The HARMONIE Ensemble Prediction System, Weather and Forecasting, December 2019, American Meteorological Society, DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-19-0030.1.
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