What is it about?

In this paper, we present a novel approach for tuning uncertainty over time, which we refer to as the Time Monte Carlo (TMC) method.

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Why is it important?

The primary goal of this paper is to tune the degree of allocation uncertainty over time so that the uncertainty degree varies between the immediate future and the distant future.

Perspectives

The proposed method is capable of tuning uncertainty on longer-term horizons. Controlling the degree of randomness over time is an important feature of the TMC method as the distant future is characterized by more uncertainty than the near future.

Ahmed Mustafa
University of Liège

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This page is a summary of: A Time Monte Carlo method for addressing uncertainty in land-use change models, International Journal of Geographical Information Science, July 2018, Taylor & Francis,
DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2018.1503275.
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