What is it about?
We designed a statistical indicator to predict whether a rainfall decrease can lead a vegetated ecosystem close to abrupt desertification.
Photo by Deivid Sáenz on Unsplash
Why is it important?
Ecosystems can display abrupt regime shifts that oftentimes are irreversible. Anticipating these changes, such as desertification of semi-arid areas, or forest-to-savanna transitions, is crucial for land management and the resilience of the human communities depending on these ecosystems.
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This page is a summary of: Entropy-based early detection of critical transitions in spatial vegetation fields, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, December 2022, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2215667120.
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