What is it about?
This book explains how numbers from research studies can be used to estimate the likelihood of future behaviour. For the various statistics covered, it begins with simple descriptions and goes on to detailed explanations intended for students and professional actually conducting prediction studies. It also covers general topics about the strengths and weaknesses of empirical risk tools. Many of the examples concern risk assessment for crime and violence, although applications to other outcome measures are discussed (e.g., success in education, marriage stability).
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Why is it important?
This is the first book that explains the commonly used prediction statistics for non-statisticians. With the increase in data and prediction algorithms, we all can benefit from a better understanding of how numbers about people in the past should inform decisions about specific people in the future.
Perspectives
This is the book that I wish I had when I started my professional work as a clinician and researcher in the area of corrections and the psychology of crime and violence. May it be of benefit to all those wishing to advance evidence-based practice under conditions of uncertainty.
R Karl Hanson
Carleton University
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Prediction statistics for psychological assessment., January 2022, American Psychological Association (APA),
DOI: 10.1037/0000275-000.
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