What is it about?
The 2019 cyclone named Idai had devastating impacts in Mozambique and neighbouring countries. In this paper I checked how well Idai and 38 other storms and cyclones could have been predicted with today's weather models. On average, the storms were only predicted a few days ahead in time, but on the bright side they often give indications that a storm might take place up to several weeks ahead.
Photo by NASA on Unsplash
Why is it important?
Tropical storms and cyclones are the most damaging weather systems in the Mozambique region. It is crucial to predict them as long as possible before they hit land so that people can evacuate in time.
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Prediction and Precursors of Idai and 38 Other Tropical Cyclones and Storms in the Mozambique Channel, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, September 2020, Wiley, DOI: 10.1002/qj.3903.
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