All Stories

  1. Exploring scenario planning through controlled experimentation: Commentary on Derbyshire et al. (2022)
  2. How to prepare for ten process and content challenges of scenario planning
  3. Haier: ecosystem leadership
  4. Macro worlds and micro predictions: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
  5. Theory development in foresight research: Commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021
  6. Thematic reflections on 18 expert commentaries
  7. How historical analysis can enrich scenario planning
  8. Determinants of organizational vigilance: Leadership, foresight, and adaptation in three sectors
  9. Converting strategic ambiguity to competitive advantage: How Philips Lighting solved the challenge of LED technology disruption
  10. Attention and foresight in organizations
  11. Scenario Planning
  12. Overconfidence
  13. Firm Resources
  14. Decision-Making
  15. Scenario Planning
  16. Decision-Making
  17. Overconfidence
  18. Firm Resources
  19. Leading the vigilant organization
  20. The Elusive Search for Integration
  21. Estimating Environmental Liability: Quantifying the Unknown
  22. Alternative Descriptive Models
  23. Experiments on Decisions under Risk: The Expected Utility Hypothesis
  24. Expected Utility Theory
  25. Epilogue
  26. Introduction
  27. scenario planning
  28. Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity
  29. firm resources
  30. overconfidence
  31. decision-making