All Stories

  1. A certainty‐weighted, belief‐based model of political attitudes: A Bayesian analysis of American public attitudes toward the Affordable Care Act

    Article • Political Psychology, November 2025, Wiley

    Josh Pasek

  2. Understanding the rationales and information environments for early, late, and nonadopters of the COVID-19 vaccine

    Article • npj Vaccines, September 2024, Springer Science + Business Media

    Josh Pasek

  3. A bird's-eye view of phubbing: How adult observations of phone use impact judgments, epistemic trust, and interpersonal trust

    Article • Mobile Media & Communication, June 2024, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  4. Has the Supreme Court become just another political branch? Public perceptions of court approval and legitimacy in a post- Dobbs world

    Article • Science Advances, March 2024, American Association for the Advancement of Science

    Josh Pasek

  5. U.S. parents' attitudes toward playful learning

    Article • Frontiers in Developmental Psychology, December 2023, Frontiers

    Josh Pasek

  6. A Deeper Anxiety

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  7. A Republic, if You Can Keep It

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  8. An Election Shaped by Crises

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  9. Appendix: Our Data and Analytical Strategy

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  10. Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Sink Trump’s Reelection?

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  11. Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Sink Trump’s Reelection?

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  12. Law and Order vs. Law and Order with Racial Justice

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  13. Law and Order vs. Law and Order with Racial Justice

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  14. List of IOD Collaborative Members

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  15. Not One Electorate, but Many

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  16. Online Appendix, Democracy amid Crises

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  17. Preface

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  18. The Best of Times, the Worst of Times

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  19. The Best of Times, the Worst of Times

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  20. The Electorates’ Communication Dynamics

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  21. What Fundamental Factors Shape Elections?

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  22. “Stop the Steal”

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  23. “Stop the Steal”

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  24. Democracy amid Crises

    Article • February 2023, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  25. Do you prefer Obamacare or the affordable care act? Simulating an informed public to improve survey measurement

    Article • International Journal of Public Opinion Research, September 2022, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  26. Promoting and Enabling Reproducible Data Science Through a Reproducibility Challenge

    Article • July 2022, The MIT Press

    Josh Pasek

  27. A Partisan Pandemic: How COVID-19 Was Primed for Polarization

    Article • The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, March 2022, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  28. Americans’ Attitudes toward the Affordable Care Act: What Role Do Beliefs Play?

    Article • The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, March 2022, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  29. The role of non–COVID-specific and COVID-specific factors in predicting a shift in willingness to vaccinate: A panel study

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, December 2021, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Josh Pasek, Dan Romer

  30. Research note: Lies and presidential debates: How political misinformation spread across media streams during the 2020 election

    Article • December 2021, Shorenstein Center for Media, Politics, and Public Policy

    Josh Pasek

  31. Analysis and Visualization Considerations for Quantitative Social Science Research Using Social Media Data

    Article • July 2021, Center for Open Science

    Richard Gonzalez, Josh Pasek, Dr Pamela Davis-Kean

  32. Modeling Considerations for Quantitative Social Science Research Using Social Media Data

    Article • May 2021, Center for Open Science

    Josh Pasek, Dr Pamela Davis-Kean

  33. When Pundits Weigh In: Do Expert and Partisan Critiques in News Reports Shape Ordinary Individuals’ Interpretations of Polls?

    Article • April 2021, Taylor & Francis

    Josh Pasek

  34. Data Acquisition, Sampling, and Data Preparation Considerations for Quantitative Social Science Research Using Social Media Data

    Article • March 2021, Center for Open Science

    Josh Pasek, Dr Pamela Davis-Kean

  35. Measurement Considerations for Quantitative Social Science Research Using Social Media Data

    Article • December 2020, Center for Open Science

    Josh Pasek, Dr Pamela Davis-Kean

  36. Exploring the Role of Media Use Within an Integrated Behavioral Model (IBM) Approach to Vote Likelihood

    Article • American Behavioral Scientist, December 2020, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  37. Seeing Blue in Black and White: Race and Perceptions of Officer-Involved Shootings

    Article • Perspectives on Politics, December 2020, Cambridge University Press

    Josh Pasek

  38. Intersectional invisibility revisited: How group prototypes lead to the erasure and exclusion of Black women.

    Article • Translational Issues in Psychological Science, December 2020, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek

  39. Attention to Campaign Events

    Article • September 2020, Wiley

    Josh Pasek

  40. Study Designs for Quantitative Social Science Research Using Social Media

    Article • July 2020, Center for Open Science

    Dr Pamela Davis-Kean, Josh Pasek

  41. When Pundits Weigh In: Do Expert and Partisan Critiques in News Reports Shape Ordinary Individuals’ Interpretations of Polls?

    Article • Mass Communication & Society, June 2020, Taylor & Francis

    Josh Pasek

  42. Some Deficits and Some Misperceptions: Linking Partisanship With Climate Change Cognitions

    Article • International Journal of Public Opinion Research, June 2020, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  43. Relations Between Variables and Trends Over Time in Rdd Telephone and Nonprobability Sample Internet Surveys

    Article • Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, February 2020, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  44. A Review of Conceptual Approaches and Empirical Evidence on Probability and Nonprobability Sample Survey Research

    Article • Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, January 2020, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  45. When Polls Disagree: How Competitive Results and Methodological Quality Shape Partisan Perceptions of Polls and Electoral Predictions

    Article • International Journal of Public Opinion Research, October 2019, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  46. Social Media as an Alternative to Surveys of Opinions About the Economy

    Article • Social Science Computer Review, September 2019, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  47. Investigating harmful and helpful effects of watching season 2 of 13 Reasons Why: Results of a two-wave U.S. panel survey

    Article • Social Science & Medicine, April 2019, Elsevier

    Josh Pasek, Dan Romer

  48. Correction: Perceptions of health risks of cigarette smoking: A new measure reveals widespread misunderstanding

    Article • PLOS One, February 2019, PLOS

    Josh Pasek

  49. Who’s Tweeting About the President? What Big Survey Data Can Tell Us About Digital Traces?

    Article • Social Science Computer Review, January 2019, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  50. Don’t Trust the Scientists! Rejecting the Scientific Consensus “Conspiracy”

    Article • December 2018, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  51. Motivations for Participation in an Online Social Media Community for Diabetes

    Article • Journal of Diabetes Science and Technology, January 2018, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  52. The Stability of Economic Correlations over Time

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2018, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  53. Linking Individual-Level Survey Data to Consumer File Records

    Article • October 2017, Springer Science + Business Media

    Josh Pasek

  54. Linking Knowledge Networks Web Panel Data with External Data

    Article • October 2017, Springer Science + Business Media

    Josh Pasek

  55. It’s not my consensus: Motivated reasoning and the sources of scientific illiteracy

    Article • Public Understanding of Science, September 2017, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  56. Negativity and Positivity Biases in Economic News Coverage: Traditional Versus Social Media

    Article • Communication Research, August 2017, SAGE Publications

    Professor Stuart N Soroka, Josh Pasek

  57. Perceptions of health risks of cigarette smoking: A new measure reveals widespread misunderstanding

    Article • PLOS One, August 2017, PLOS

    Josh Pasek

  58. Real-World Use and Self-Reported Health Outcomes of a Patient-Designed Do-it-Yourself Mobile Technology System for Diabetes: Lessons for Mobile Health

    Article • Diabetes Technology & Therapeutics, April 2017, Mary Ann Liebert Inc

    Josh Pasek

  59. Understanding and measuring mobile Facebook use: Who, why, and how?

    Article • Mobile Media & Communication, January 2017, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  60. Motivated Reasoning in the Perceived Credibility of Public Opinion Polls

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2017, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  61. Explaining the Diversity Deficit: Value-Trait Consistency in News Exposure and Democratic Citizenship

    Article • Communication Research, April 2016, SAGE Publications

    Dam Hee Kim, Josh Pasek

  62. Improving social media measurement in surveys: Avoiding acquiescence bias in Facebook research

    Article • Computers in Human Behavior, April 2016, Elsevier

    Josh Pasek

  63. Social Media Analyses for Social Measurement

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2016, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  64. Facebook Intensity Scale--Item-Specific Version

    Article • January 2016, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek

  65. Facebook Intrusion Scale--Item-Specific Version

    Article • January 2016, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek

  66. Facebook Self-Disclosure--Item-Specific Version

    Article • January 2016, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek

  67. Racial Attitudes Predicted Changes in Ostensibly Race-Neutral Political Attitudes Under the Obama Administration

    Article • Political Psychology, December 2015, Wiley

    Josh Pasek

  68. What motivates a conspiracy theory? Birther beliefs, partisanship, liberal-conservative ideology, and anti-Black attitudes

    Article • Electoral Studies, December 2015, Elsevier

    Josh Pasek

  69. When will Nonprobability Surveys Mirror Probability Surveys? Considering Types of Inference and Weighting Strategies as Criteria for Correspondence

    Article • International Journal of Public Opinion Research, August 2015, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  70. Misinformed About the Affordable Care Act? Leveraging Certainty to Assess the Prevalence of Misperceptions

    Article • Journal of Communication, June 2015, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  71. Assessing the Carrying Capacity of Twitter and Online News

    Article • Mass Communication & Society, June 2015, Taylor & Francis

    Josh Pasek

  72. Roger Tourangeau et al., eds. Hard-to-Survey Populations. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. 2014. 648 pp. $120.00 (cloth).

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, May 2015, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  73. Beyond Probability Sampling: Population Inference in a World without Benchmarks

    Article • SSRN Electronic Journal, January 2015, Elsevier

    Josh Pasek

  74. Predicting Elections: Considering Tools to Pool the Polls

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2015, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  75. Privacy Concern, Trust, and Desire for Content Personalization

    Article • SSRN Electronic Journal, January 2015, Elsevier

    Josh Pasek

  76. Social Media in Public Opinion Research: Executive Summary of the Aapor Task Force on Emerging Technologies in Public Opinion Research

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, November 2014, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  77. The impact of candidate name order on election outcomes in North Dakota

    Article • Electoral Studies, September 2014, Elsevier

    Josh Pasek

  78. Attitudes Toward Blacks in the Obama Era

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2014, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  79. Can Marketing Data Aid Survey Research? Examining Accuracy and Completeness in Consumer-File Data

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2014, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  80. Prevalence and Moderators of the Candidate Name-Order Effect

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2014, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  81. Measuring anti-Black racial prejudice

    Article • January 2014, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek

  82. Experiments

    Article • September 2013, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  83. Writing the empirical social science research paper: A guide for the perplexed

    Article • January 2012, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek

  84. Implicit and explicit prejudice in the 2008 American presidential election

    Article • Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, March 2010, Elsevier

    Josh Pasek

  85. Optimizing Survey Questionnaire Design in Political Science

    Article • February 2010, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  86. Realizing the Social Internet? Online Social Networking Meets Offline Civic Engagement

    Article • Journal of Information Technology & Politics, July 2009, Taylor & Francis

    Josh Pasek

  87. Some clarifications on the Facebook-GPA study and Karpinski's response

    Article • First Monday, May 2009, University of Illinois Libraries

    Josh Pasek

  88. Facebook and academic performance: Reconciling a media sensation with data

    Article • First Monday, April 2009, University of Illinois Libraries

    Josh Pasek

  89. Building Social Capital in Young People: The Role of Mass Media and Life Outlook

    Article • Political Communication, February 2009, Taylor & Francis

    Josh Pasek

  90. Determinants of Turnout and Candidate Choice in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

    Article • Public Opinion Quarterly, January 2009, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Josh Pasek

  91. Schools as Incubators of Democratic Participation: Building Long-Term Political Efficacy with Civic Education

    Article • Applied Developmental Science, March 2008, Taylor & Francis

    Josh Pasek

  92. Identifying Best Practices in Civic Education: Lessons from the Student Voices Program

    Article • American Journal of Education, November 2007, University of Chicago Press

    Josh Pasek

  93. America's Youth and Community Engagement

    Article • Communication Research, June 2006, SAGE Publications

    Josh Pasek

  94. Media Consumption Measure

    Article • January 2006, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek

  95. Political Awareness Scale

    Article • January 2006, American Psychological Association (APA)

    Josh Pasek