All Stories

  1. Socioeconomic inequalities in Chile during the COVID-19 pandemic: A regional analysis of income poverty
  2. (Vision Paper) A Vision for Spatio-Causal Situation Awareness, Forecasting, and Planning
  3. Location-based Rapid Testing For Epidemic (COVID-19) Modeling
  4. An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA
  5. Spatial dynamics and the basic reproduction number of the 1991–1997 Cholera epidemic in Peru
  6. Vaccination strategies to control Ebola epidemics in the context of variable household inaccessibility levels
  7. Using phenomenological models for forecasting the 2015 Ebola challenge
  8. Severe mortality impact of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Chile
  9. Quantifying the fitness of antiviral-resistant influenza strains
  10. Exploring optimal control strategies in seasonally varying flu-like epidemics
  11. Improving epidemic size prediction through stable reconstruction of disease parameters by reduced iteratively regularized Gauss–Newton algorithm
  12. Mathematical models to elucidate the transmission dynamics and control of vector-borne disease
  13. Pandemic influenza and socioeconomic disparities: Lessons from 1918 Chicago
  14. A dynamic compartmental model for the Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in the Republic of Korea: A retrospective analysis on control interventions and superspreading events
  15. Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics
  16. Is it growing exponentially fast? – Impact of assuming exponential growth for characterizing and forecasting epidemics with initial near-exponential growth dynamics
  17. Erratum To: Accounting for Behavioral Responses during a Flu Epidemic Using Home Television Viewing
  18. Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review
  19. Early sub-exponential epidemic growth: Simple models, nonlinear incidence rates, and additional mechanisms
  20. Mortality and transmissibility patterns of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Maricopa County, Arizona
  21. Predicting the international spread of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)
  22. Prevention and Control of Zika as a Mosquito-Borne and Sexually Transmitted Disease: A Mathematical Modeling Analysis
  23. A generalized-growth model to characterize the early ascending phase of infectious disease outbreaks
  24. Global Mortality Impact of the 1957–1959 Influenza Pandemic
  25. Identifying determinants of heterogeneous transmission dynamics of the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015: a retrospective epidemiological analysis
  26. Modeling Ring-Vaccination Strategies to Control Ebola Virus Disease Epidemics
  27. Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases
  28. Evaluating the Number of Sickbeds During Ebola Epidemics Using Optimal Control Theory
  29. Patch Models of EVD Transmission Dynamics
  30. Using Phenomenological Models to Characterize Transmissibility and Forecast Patterns and Final Burden of Zika Epidemics
  31. Whooping cough dynamics in Chile (1932–2010): disease temporal fluctuations across a north-south gradient
  32. Null models for community detection in spatially embedded, temporal networks
  33. Estimating the risk of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) death during the course of the outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015
  34. Modelling the spatial-temporal progression of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile
  35. Real-time characterization of risks of death associated with the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in the Republic of Korea, 2015
  36. Transmission characteristics of MERS and SARS in the healthcare setting: a comparative study
  37. Characterizing Ebola Transmission Patterns Based on Internet News Reports
  38. Modeling household and community transmission of Ebola virus disease: Epidemic growth, spatial dynamics and insights for epidemic control
  39. Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009
  40. Multiple Trigger Points for Quantifying Heat-Health Impacts: New Evidence from a Hot Climate
  41. Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case
  42. Ebola vaccine trials: a race against the clock
  43. The first human infection with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus in Shaanxi Province, China
  44. Controlling Ebola: key role of Ebola treatment centres
  45. Ebola control: rapid diagnostic testing
  46. Accounting for behavioral responses during a flu epidemic using home television viewing
  47. Characterizing the Transmission Dynamics and Control of Ebola Virus Disease
  48. Theoretical perspectives on the infectiousness of Ebola virus disease
  49. Intense Seasonal A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2013–2014
  50. Synthesizing data and models for the spread of MERS-CoV, 2013: Key role of index cases and hospital transmission
  51. Death Patterns during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Chile
  52. Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease (EVD): a review
  53. Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria, July to September 2014
  54. Merging Economics and Epidemiology to Improve the Prediction and Management of Infectious Disease
  55. Authors' reply: Feedback from modelling to surveillance of Ebola virus disease
  56. Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014
  57. Time-Specific Ecologic Niche Models Forecast the Risk of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in Dongting Lake District, China, 2005–2010
  58. Null Models for Community Detection in Spatially-Embedded, Temporal Networks
  59. Spatial-temporal excess mortality patterns of the 1918–1919 influenza pandemic in Spain
  60. Rates of Influenza-like Illness and Winter School Breaks, Chile, 2004–2010
  61. Heat-Related Deaths in Hot Cities: Estimates of Human Tolerance to High Temperature Thresholds
  62. Assessing the impact of public health interventions on the transmission of pandemicH1N1 influenza a virus aboard a Peruvian navy ship
  63. Urban structure and the risk of influenza A (H1N1) outbreaks in municipal districts
  64. Influence of Deforestation, Logging, and Fire on Malaria in the Brazilian Amazon
  65. The Western Africa Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic Exhibits Both Global Exponential and Local Polynomial Growth Rates
  66. Is West Africa Approaching a Catastrophic Phase or is the 2014 Ebola Epidemic Slowing Down? Different Models Yield Different Answers for Liberia
  67. Substantial Morbidity and Mortality Associated with Pandemic A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2013-2014: Gradual Age Shift and Severity
  68. A Data-Driven Mathematical Model of CA-MRSA Transmission among Age Groups: Evaluating the Effect of Control Interventions
  69. Commentary
  70. Interactions between Social Structure, Demography, and Transmission Determine Disease Persistence in Primates
  71. Potential Use of School Absenteeism Record for Disease Surveillance in Developing Countries, Case Study in Rural Cambodia
  72. Transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9, February to May 2013, China
  73. From the guest editors
  74. The basic reproduction number $R_0$ and effectiveness of reactive interventions during dengue epidemics: The 2002 dengue outbreak in Easter Island, Chile
  75. Occupation and Environmental Heat-Associated Deaths in Maricopa County, Arizona: A Case-Control Study
  76. A Population Based Study of Seasonality of Skin and Soft Tissue Infections: Implications for the Spread of CA-MRSA
  77. Skip the Trip: Air Travelers' Behavioral Responses to Pandemic Influenza
  78. A practical method to target individuals for outbreak detection and control
  79. Climate change and influenza: the likelihood of early and severe influenza seasons following warmer than average winters
  80. Modeling rapidly disseminating infectious disease during mass gatherings
  81. The age distribution of mortality due to influenza: pandemic and peri-pandemic
  82. The influence of climatic conditions on the transmission dynamics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile
  83. Impact of weekday social contact patterns on the modeling of influenza transmission, and determination of the influenza latent period
  84. Toward unbiased assessment of treatment and prevention: modeling household transmission of pandemic influenza
  85. Epidemiological Characterization of a Fourth Wave of Pandemic A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2011–2012: Age Shift and Severity
  86. Epidemiological Characteristics and Underlying Risk Factors for Mortality during the Autumn 2009 Pandemic Wave in Mexico
  87. Impact of antiviral treatment and hospital admission delay on risk of death associated with 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza in Mexico
  88. Recrudescent wave of pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, winter 2011-2012: Age shift and severity
  89. The 1918–19 Influenza Pandemic in Boyacá, Colombia
  90. Risk Factors for Mortality among 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza Hospitalizations in Maricopa County, Arizona, April 2009 to March 2010
  91. Modeling Optimal Age-Specific Vaccination Strategies Against Pandemic Influenza
  92. Influenza-Related Mortality Trends in Japanese and American Seniors: Evidence for the Indirect Mortality Benefits of Vaccinating Schoolchildren
  93. Mortality Burden of the A/H1N1 Pandemic in Mexico: A Comparison of Deaths and Years of Life Lost to Seasonal Influenza
  94. Measuring the benefits of school closure interventions to mitigate influenza
  95. Influenza and Pneumonia Mortality in 66 Large Cities in the United States in Years Surrounding the 1918 Pandemic
  96. Scales of perception: public awareness of regional and neighborhood climates
  97. The 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Peru
  98. The need for interdisciplinary studies of historic pandemics
  99. Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of the 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza Pandemic in Peru
  100. The influence of geographic and climate factors on the timing of dengue epidemics in Perú, 1994-2008
  101. Characterizing the Epidemiology of the 2009 Influenza A/H1N1 Pandemic in Mexico
  102. Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models
  103. Did Modeling Overestimate the Transmission Potential of Pandemic (H1N1-2009)? Sample Size Estimation for Post-Epidemic Seroepidemiological Studies
  104. A DETERMINISTIC METHODOLOGY FOR ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC MARKOV CHAIN MODELS
  105. Preface
  106. A perspective on the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico
  107. Mortality Patterns Associated with the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Mexico: Evidence for a Spring Herald Wave and Lack of Preexisting Immunity in Older Populations
  108. Changes in the Viral Distribution Pattern after the Appearance of the Novel Influenza A H1N1 (pH1N1) Virus in Influenza-Like Illness Patients in Peru
  109. Rubella metapopulation dynamics and importance of spatial coupling to the risk of congenital rubella syndrome in Peru
  110. Optimal control for pandemic influenza: The role of limited antiviral treatment and isolation
  111. The reproduction number of seasonal influenza epidemics in Brazil, 1996-2006
  112. Simulación del nivel de eliminación de sarampión y rubéola según la estratificación e interacción social
  113. Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009
  114. Does Glycosylation as a modifier of Original Antigenic Sin explain the case age distribution and unusual toxicity in pandemic novel H1N1 influenza?
  115. A discrete events delay differential system model for transmission of Vancomycin-resistant enterococcus (VRE) in hospitals
  116. Transmission dynamics and underreporting of Kala-azar in the Indian state of Bihar
  117. Adaptive Vaccination Strategies to Mitigate Pandemic Influenza: Mexico as a Case Study
  118. Qualitative analysis of the level of cross-protection between epidemic waves of the 1918–1919 influenza pandemic
  119. Adaptive vaccination strategies to mitigate pandemic influenzaMexico as a case study
  120. Severe Respiratory Disease Concurrent with the Circulation of H1N1 Influenza
  121. Lessons from Nigeria: the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virus
  122. The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course
  123. The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Perú: 1994–2006
  124. The reproduction number $R_t$ in structured and nonstructured populations
  125. Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology
  126. The Basic Reproduction Number of Infectious Diseases: Computation and Estimation Using Compartmental Epidemic Models
  127. The Effective Reproduction Number as a Prelude to Statistical Estimation of Time-Dependent Epidemic Trends
  128. Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Rubella in Peru, 1997–2006: Geographic Patterns, Age at Infection and Estimation of Transmissibility
  129. Protecting residential care facilities from pandemic influenza
  130. Signatures of non-homogeneous mixing in disease outbreaks
  131. Learning from the past to prepare for the future: Modeling the impact of hypothetical interventions during the great influenza pandemic of 1918
  132. Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994–2006
  133. The 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact
  134. Quantifying the transmission potential of pandemic influenza
  135. Here's to Your Health
  136. Mathematical Assessment of Canada’s Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Plan
  137. Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data
  138. Seasonal influenza in the United States, France, and Australia: transmission and prospects for control
  139. Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish flu pandemic waves in Geneva, Switzerland
  140. Spatial distribution of acaricide profiles (Boophilus microplus strains susceptible or resistant to acaricides) in southeastern Mexico
  141. On the role of cross-immunity and vaccines on the survival of less fit flu-strains
  142. Assessing the role of basic control measures, antivirals and vaccine in curtailing pandemic influenza: scenarios for the US, UK and the Netherlands
  143. Estimation of the reproductive number of the Spanish flu epidemic in Geneva, Switzerland
  144. Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data
  145. Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions
  146. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of scorpionism in Colima, Mexico (2000–2001)
  147. The role of spatial mixing in the spread of foot-and-mouth disease
  148. Human-mediated Foot-and-mouth Disease Epidemic Dispersal: Disease and Vector Clusters
  149. Modelling the transmission dynamics of acute haemorrhagic conjunctivitis: application to the 2003 outbreak in Mexico
  150. Identification of case clusters and counties with high infective connectivity in the 2001 epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease in Uruguay
  151. Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents
  152. Critical response to post-outbreak vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease
  153. Predicting scorpion sting incidence in an endemic region using climatological variables *
  154. The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS
  155. The dynamics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Colima, Mexico (1999–2002)
  156. Pediatric electrocardiograph abnormalities following Centruroides limpidus tecomanus scorpion envenomation
  157. Model Parameters and Outbreak Control for SARS
  158. The basic reproductive number of Ebola and the effects of public health measures: the cases of Congo and Uganda
  159. Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city
  160. SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism
  161. 2. Worst-Case Scenarios and Epidemics
  162. Towards Real Time Epidemiology: Data Assimilation, Modeling and Anomaly Detection of Health Surveillance Data Streams
  163. Science AMA Series: I’m Gerardo Chowell. I study the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. Lately, I’ve been focused on Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). AMA.