All Stories

  1. How well can we quantify when 1.5 °C of global warming has been exceeded?
  2. Views on climate change, climate action and mental health, in young people with and without existing depression symptoms: A qualitative study
  3. Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
  4. An observational record of global gridded near-surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  5. High‐Impact Low‐Likelihood Climate Scenarios for Risk Assessment in the UK
  6. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  7. The rainfall observers
  8. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  9. Warming Stripes Spark Climate Conversations: From the Ocean to the Stratosphere
  10. Archives and Climate Science: Transforming Paper Documents into Global Climate Datasets
  11. How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
  12. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  13. Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
  14. An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  15. Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world
  16. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals
  17. GC Insights: Communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain
  18. Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves*
  19. River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
  20. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilizing Climate
  21. Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations
  22. The Importance and Scientific Value of Long Weather and Climate Records; Examples of Historical Marine Data Efforts across the Globe
  23. Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers
  24. ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
  25. The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle
  26. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks
  27. Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes
  28. New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints
  29. Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
  30. Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks
  31. The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
  32. Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6
  33. Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
  34. Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered
  35. Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists
  36. Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing
  37. Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels
  38. The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects
  39. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  40. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  41. U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities
  42. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
  43. Australian warming: observed change and global temperature targets
  44. Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century
  45. Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers
  46. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
  47. Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing
  48. Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown
  49. "The most important thing to do about climate change is to talk about it." – Katherine Hayhoe
  50. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  51. Emergence of opposite trends in daytime and night-time urban heat island intensities in England
  52. Sea ice and atmosphere interactions and predictability: preliminary results using HadGEM3
  53. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  54. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
  55. Supplementary material to "Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6"
  56. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  57. Supplementary material to "Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions"
  58. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6
  59. Causes of climate change over the historical record
  60. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  61. Observed emergence of the climate change signal: from the familiar to the unknown
  62. Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists
  63. Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993
  64. Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change
  65. Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers
  66. Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
  67. Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
  68. Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
  69. Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
  70. Interpretations of the Paris climate target
  71. Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
  72. Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming
  73. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability
  74. Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
  75. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals
  76. Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
  77. Global risk of deadly heat
  78. Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Climate Extremes
  79. Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates
  80. Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age
  81. Climate research must sharpen its view
  82. The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations
  83. Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
  84. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes
  85. CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models
  86. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
  87. The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1
  88. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
  89. Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach
  90. Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
  91. Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes
  92. Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation
  93. Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection
  94. Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
  95. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
  96. Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
  97. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  98. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations
  99. What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
  100. Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems
  101. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
  102. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
  103. The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets
  104. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes
  105. Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures
  106. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations
  107. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  108. Graphics: Scrap rainbow colour scales
  109. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures
  110. Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
  111. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
  112. Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
  113. The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications
  114. An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  115. A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales
  116. Wetter then drier in some tropical areas
  117. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
  118. Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
  119. The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
  120. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
  121. Pause for thought
  122. Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
  123. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
  124. Atlantic overturning in decline?
  125. Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion
  126. Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability
  127. On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar
  128. Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”
  129. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
  130. Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
  131. Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe
  132. Reliability of regional climate model trends
  133. The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
  134. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model
  135. Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s
  136. Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
  137. Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N"
  138. Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
  139. Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
  140. Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6
  141. A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
  142. Meteorology: Counting the coming storms
  143. Our evolving climate
  144. Time of emergence of climate signals
  145. Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
  146. A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
  147. Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”
  148. Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability
  149. Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport
  150. Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach
  151. Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM
  152. Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
  153. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century
  154. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
  155. Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters
  156. Decadal Prediction
  157. The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
  158. Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
  159. Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  160. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  161. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  162. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type
  163. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the blue galaxy fraction and implications for the Butcher-Oemler effect
  164. The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies
  165. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe
  166. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type
  167. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the luminosity function of cluster galaxies
  168. No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data
  169. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters
  170. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type
  171. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Constraints on Cosmic Star Formation History from the Cosmic Spectrum
  172. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering
  173. The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function
  174. Climate projections.