All Stories

  1. Pressure: reimagining the D‐Day forecast through machine learning
  2. Potential high-impact low-likelihood climate risks in the UK
  3. Everyday weather in a warmer world
  4. Supplementary material to "Everyday weather in a warmer world"
  5. Hot extremes following net-zero CO 2 emissions in UKESM: physical drivers and role of vegetation
  6. From Paper to Proof: Revealing Congo Basin Warming Through Rescued Climate Archives
  7. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  8. Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves
  9. Weather Rescue at Sea: Recovering Historical Weather Observations From 19th Century British Naval Ships
  10. Atlantic Multidecadal Variability since 1850 is largely externally forced
  11. How well can we quantify when 1.5 °C of global warming has been exceeded?
  12. Views on climate change, climate action and mental health, in young people with and without existing depression symptoms: A qualitative study
  13. Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
  14. An observational record of global gridded near-surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  15. High‐Impact Low‐Likelihood Climate Scenarios for Risk Assessment in the UK
  16. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  17. The rainfall observers
  18. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  19. Warming Stripes Spark Climate Conversations: From the Ocean to the Stratosphere
  20. Archives and Climate Science: Transforming Paper Documents into Global Climate Datasets
  21. How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
  22. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  23. Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
  24. An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  25. Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world
  26. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals
  27. GC Insights: Communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain
  28. Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves*
  29. River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
  30. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilizing Climate
  31. Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations
  32. The Importance and Scientific Value of Long Weather and Climate Records; Examples of Historical Marine Data Efforts across the Globe
  33. Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers
  34. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilising Climate
  35. ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
  36. The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle
  37. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks
  38. Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes
  39. New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints
  40. Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
  41. Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks
  42. The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
  43. Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6
  44. Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
  45. Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered
  46. Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists
  47. Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing
  48. Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels
  49. The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects
  50. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  51. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  52. U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities
  53. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
  54. Australian warming: observed change and global temperature targets
  55. Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century
  56. Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers
  57. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
  58. Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing
  59. Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown
  60. "The most important thing to do about climate change is to talk about it." – Katherine Hayhoe
  61. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  62. Emergence of opposite trends in daytime and night-time urban heat island intensities in England
  63. Sea ice and atmosphere interactions and predictability: preliminary results using HadGEM3
  64. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  65. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
  66. Supplementary material to "Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6"
  67. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  68. Supplementary material to "Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions"
  69. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6
  70. Causes of climate change over the historical record
  71. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  72. Observed emergence of the climate change signal: from the familiar to the unknown
  73. Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists
  74. Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993
  75. Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change
  76. Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers
  77. Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
  78. Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
  79. Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
  80. Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
  81. Interpretations of the Paris climate target
  82. Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
  83. Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming
  84. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability
  85. Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
  86. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals
  87. Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
  88. Global risk of deadly heat
  89. Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Climate Extremes
  90. Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates
  91. Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age
  92. Climate research must sharpen its view
  93. The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations
  94. Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
  95. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes
  96. CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models
  97. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
  98. The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1
  99. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
  100. Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach
  101. Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
  102. Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes
  103. Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation
  104. Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection
  105. Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
  106. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
  107. Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
  108. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  109. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations
  110. What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
  111. Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems
  112. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
  113. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
  114. The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets
  115. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes
  116. Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures
  117. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations
  118. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  119. Graphics: Scrap rainbow colour scales
  120. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures
  121. Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
  122. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
  123. Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
  124. The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications
  125. An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  126. A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales
  127. Wetter then drier in some tropical areas
  128. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
  129. Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
  130. The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
  131. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
  132. Pause for thought
  133. Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
  134. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
  135. Atlantic overturning in decline?
  136. Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion
  137. Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability
  138. On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar
  139. Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”
  140. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
  141. Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
  142. Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe
  143. Reliability of regional climate model trends
  144. The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
  145. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model
  146. Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s
  147. Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
  148. Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N"
  149. Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
  150. Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
  151. Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6
  152. A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
  153. Meteorology: Counting the coming storms
  154. Our evolving climate
  155. Time of emergence of climate signals
  156. Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
  157. A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
  158. Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”
  159. Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability
  160. Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport
  161. Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach
  162. Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM
  163. Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
  164. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century
  165. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
  166. Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters
  167. Decadal Prediction
  168. The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
  169. Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
  170. Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  171. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  172. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  173. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type
  174. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the blue galaxy fraction and implications for the Butcher-Oemler effect
  175. The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies
  176. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe
  177. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type
  178. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the luminosity function of cluster galaxies
  179. No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data
  180. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters
  181. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type
  182. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Constraints on Cosmic Star Formation History from the Cosmic Spectrum
  183. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering
  184. The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function
  185. Climate projections.