All Stories

  1. Everyday weather in a warmer world
  2. Supplementary material to "Everyday weather in a warmer world"
  3. Hot extremes following net-zero CO 2 emissions in UKESM: physical drivers and role of vegetation
  4. From Paper to Proof: Revealing Congo Basin Warming Through Rescued Climate Archives
  5. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  6. Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves
  7. Weather Rescue at Sea: Recovering Historical Weather Observations From 19th Century British Naval Ships
  8. Atlantic Multidecadal Variability since 1850 is largely externally forced
  9. How well can we quantify when 1.5 °C of global warming has been exceeded?
  10. Views on climate change, climate action and mental health, in young people with and without existing depression symptoms: A qualitative study
  11. Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
  12. An observational record of global gridded near-surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  13. High‐Impact Low‐Likelihood Climate Scenarios for Risk Assessment in the UK
  14. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  15. The rainfall observers
  16. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  17. Warming Stripes Spark Climate Conversations: From the Ocean to the Stratosphere
  18. Archives and Climate Science: Transforming Paper Documents into Global Climate Datasets
  19. How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
  20. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  21. Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
  22. An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  23. Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world
  24. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals
  25. GC Insights: Communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain
  26. Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves*
  27. River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
  28. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilizing Climate
  29. Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations
  30. The Importance and Scientific Value of Long Weather and Climate Records; Examples of Historical Marine Data Efforts across the Globe
  31. Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers
  32. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilising Climate
  33. ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
  34. The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle
  35. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks
  36. Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes
  37. New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints
  38. Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
  39. Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks
  40. The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
  41. Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6
  42. Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
  43. Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered
  44. Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists
  45. Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing
  46. Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels
  47. The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects
  48. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  49. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  50. U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities
  51. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
  52. Australian warming: observed change and global temperature targets
  53. Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century
  54. Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers
  55. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
  56. Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing
  57. Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown
  58. "The most important thing to do about climate change is to talk about it." – Katherine Hayhoe
  59. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  60. Emergence of opposite trends in daytime and night-time urban heat island intensities in England
  61. Sea ice and atmosphere interactions and predictability: preliminary results using HadGEM3
  62. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  63. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
  64. Supplementary material to "Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6"
  65. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  66. Supplementary material to "Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions"
  67. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6
  68. Causes of climate change over the historical record
  69. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  70. Observed emergence of the climate change signal: from the familiar to the unknown
  71. Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists
  72. Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993
  73. Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change
  74. Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers
  75. Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
  76. Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
  77. Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
  78. Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
  79. Interpretations of the Paris climate target
  80. Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
  81. Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming
  82. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability
  83. Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
  84. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals
  85. Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
  86. Global risk of deadly heat
  87. Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Climate Extremes
  88. Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates
  89. Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age
  90. Climate research must sharpen its view
  91. The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations
  92. Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
  93. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes
  94. CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models
  95. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
  96. The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1
  97. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
  98. Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach
  99. Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
  100. Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes
  101. Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation
  102. Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection
  103. Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
  104. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
  105. Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
  106. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  107. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations
  108. What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
  109. Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems
  110. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
  111. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
  112. The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets
  113. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes
  114. Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures
  115. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations
  116. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  117. Graphics: Scrap rainbow colour scales
  118. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures
  119. Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
  120. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
  121. Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
  122. The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications
  123. An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  124. A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales
  125. Wetter then drier in some tropical areas
  126. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
  127. Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
  128. The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
  129. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
  130. Pause for thought
  131. Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
  132. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
  133. Atlantic overturning in decline?
  134. Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion
  135. Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability
  136. On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar
  137. Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”
  138. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
  139. Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
  140. Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe
  141. Reliability of regional climate model trends
  142. The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
  143. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model
  144. Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s
  145. Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
  146. Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N"
  147. Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
  148. Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
  149. Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6
  150. A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
  151. Meteorology: Counting the coming storms
  152. Our evolving climate
  153. Time of emergence of climate signals
  154. Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
  155. A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
  156. Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”
  157. Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability
  158. Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport
  159. Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach
  160. Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM
  161. Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
  162. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century
  163. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
  164. Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters
  165. Decadal Prediction
  166. The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
  167. Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
  168. Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  169. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  170. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  171. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type
  172. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the blue galaxy fraction and implications for the Butcher-Oemler effect
  173. The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies
  174. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe
  175. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type
  176. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the luminosity function of cluster galaxies
  177. No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data
  178. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters
  179. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type
  180. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Constraints on Cosmic Star Formation History from the Cosmic Spectrum
  181. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering
  182. The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function
  183. Climate projections.