All Stories

  1. Potential high-impact low-likelihood climate risks in the UK
  2. Everyday weather in a warmer world
  3. Supplementary material to "Everyday weather in a warmer world"
  4. Hot extremes following net-zero CO 2 emissions in UKESM: physical drivers and role of vegetation
  5. From Paper to Proof: Revealing Congo Basin Warming Through Rescued Climate Archives
  6. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  7. Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves
  8. Weather Rescue at Sea: Recovering Historical Weather Observations From 19th Century British Naval Ships
  9. Atlantic Multidecadal Variability since 1850 is largely externally forced
  10. How well can we quantify when 1.5 °C of global warming has been exceeded?
  11. Views on climate change, climate action and mental health, in young people with and without existing depression symptoms: A qualitative study
  12. Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
  13. An observational record of global gridded near-surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  14. High‐Impact Low‐Likelihood Climate Scenarios for Risk Assessment in the UK
  15. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  16. The rainfall observers
  17. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  18. Warming Stripes Spark Climate Conversations: From the Ocean to the Stratosphere
  19. Archives and Climate Science: Transforming Paper Documents into Global Climate Datasets
  20. How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
  21. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  22. Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
  23. An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  24. Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world
  25. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals
  26. GC Insights: Communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain
  27. Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves*
  28. River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
  29. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilizing Climate
  30. Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations
  31. The Importance and Scientific Value of Long Weather and Climate Records; Examples of Historical Marine Data Efforts across the Globe
  32. Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers
  33. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilising Climate
  34. ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
  35. The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle
  36. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks
  37. Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes
  38. New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints
  39. Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
  40. Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks
  41. The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
  42. Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6
  43. Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
  44. Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered
  45. Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists
  46. Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing
  47. Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels
  48. The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects
  49. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  50. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  51. U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities
  52. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
  53. Australian warming: observed change and global temperature targets
  54. Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century
  55. Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers
  56. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
  57. Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing
  58. Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown
  59. "The most important thing to do about climate change is to talk about it." – Katherine Hayhoe
  60. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  61. Emergence of opposite trends in daytime and night-time urban heat island intensities in England
  62. Sea ice and atmosphere interactions and predictability: preliminary results using HadGEM3
  63. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  64. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
  65. Supplementary material to "Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6"
  66. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  67. Supplementary material to "Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions"
  68. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6
  69. Causes of climate change over the historical record
  70. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  71. Observed emergence of the climate change signal: from the familiar to the unknown
  72. Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists
  73. Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993
  74. Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change
  75. Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers
  76. Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
  77. Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
  78. Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
  79. Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
  80. Interpretations of the Paris climate target
  81. Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
  82. Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming
  83. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability
  84. Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
  85. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals
  86. Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
  87. Global risk of deadly heat
  88. Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Climate Extremes
  89. Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates
  90. Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age
  91. Climate research must sharpen its view
  92. The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations
  93. Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
  94. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes
  95. CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models
  96. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
  97. The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1
  98. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
  99. Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach
  100. Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
  101. Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes
  102. Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation
  103. Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection
  104. Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
  105. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
  106. Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
  107. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  108. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations
  109. What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
  110. Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems
  111. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
  112. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
  113. The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets
  114. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes
  115. Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures
  116. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations
  117. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  118. Graphics: Scrap rainbow colour scales
  119. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures
  120. Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
  121. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
  122. Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
  123. The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications
  124. An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  125. A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales
  126. Wetter then drier in some tropical areas
  127. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
  128. Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
  129. The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
  130. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
  131. Pause for thought
  132. Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
  133. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
  134. Atlantic overturning in decline?
  135. Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion
  136. Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability
  137. On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar
  138. Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”
  139. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
  140. Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
  141. Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe
  142. Reliability of regional climate model trends
  143. The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
  144. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model
  145. Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s
  146. Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
  147. Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N"
  148. Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
  149. Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
  150. Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6
  151. A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
  152. Meteorology: Counting the coming storms
  153. Our evolving climate
  154. Time of emergence of climate signals
  155. Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
  156. A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
  157. Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”
  158. Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability
  159. Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport
  160. Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach
  161. Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM
  162. Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
  163. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century
  164. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
  165. Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters
  166. Decadal Prediction
  167. The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
  168. Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
  169. Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  170. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  171. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  172. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type
  173. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the blue galaxy fraction and implications for the Butcher-Oemler effect
  174. The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies
  175. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe
  176. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type
  177. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the luminosity function of cluster galaxies
  178. No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data
  179. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters
  180. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type
  181. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Constraints on Cosmic Star Formation History from the Cosmic Spectrum
  182. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering
  183. The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function
  184. Climate projections.