All Stories

  1. Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves
  2. Weather Rescue at Sea: Recovering Historical Weather Observations From 19th Century British Naval Ships
  3. Atlantic Multidecadal Variability since 1850 is largely externally forced
  4. How well can we quantify when 1.5 °C of global warming has been exceeded?
  5. Views on climate change, climate action and mental health, in young people with and without existing depression symptoms: A qualitative study
  6. Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
  7. An observational record of global gridded near-surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  8. High‐Impact Low‐Likelihood Climate Scenarios for Risk Assessment in the UK
  9. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  10. The rainfall observers
  11. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  12. Warming Stripes Spark Climate Conversations: From the Ocean to the Stratosphere
  13. Archives and Climate Science: Transforming Paper Documents into Global Climate Datasets
  14. How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
  15. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  16. Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
  17. An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  18. Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world
  19. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals
  20. GC Insights: Communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain
  21. Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves*
  22. River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
  23. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilizing Climate
  24. Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations
  25. The Importance and Scientific Value of Long Weather and Climate Records; Examples of Historical Marine Data Efforts across the Globe
  26. Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers
  27. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilising Climate
  28. ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
  29. The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle
  30. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks
  31. Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes
  32. New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints
  33. Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
  34. Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks
  35. The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
  36. Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6
  37. Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
  38. Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered
  39. Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists
  40. Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing
  41. Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels
  42. The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects
  43. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  44. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  45. U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities
  46. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
  47. Australian warming: observed change and global temperature targets
  48. Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century
  49. Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers
  50. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
  51. Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing
  52. Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown
  53. "The most important thing to do about climate change is to talk about it." – Katherine Hayhoe
  54. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  55. Emergence of opposite trends in daytime and night-time urban heat island intensities in England
  56. Sea ice and atmosphere interactions and predictability: preliminary results using HadGEM3
  57. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  58. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
  59. Supplementary material to "Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6"
  60. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  61. Supplementary material to "Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions"
  62. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6
  63. Causes of climate change over the historical record
  64. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  65. Observed emergence of the climate change signal: from the familiar to the unknown
  66. Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists
  67. Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993
  68. Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change
  69. Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers
  70. Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
  71. Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
  72. Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
  73. Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
  74. Interpretations of the Paris climate target
  75. Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
  76. Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming
  77. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability
  78. Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
  79. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals
  80. Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
  81. Global risk of deadly heat
  82. Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Climate Extremes
  83. Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates
  84. Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age
  85. Climate research must sharpen its view
  86. The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations
  87. Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
  88. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes
  89. CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models
  90. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
  91. The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1
  92. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
  93. Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach
  94. Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
  95. Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes
  96. Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation
  97. Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection
  98. Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
  99. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
  100. Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
  101. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  102. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations
  103. What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
  104. Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems
  105. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
  106. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
  107. The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets
  108. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes
  109. Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures
  110. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations
  111. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  112. Graphics: Scrap rainbow colour scales
  113. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures
  114. Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
  115. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
  116. Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
  117. The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications
  118. An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  119. A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales
  120. Wetter then drier in some tropical areas
  121. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
  122. Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
  123. The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
  124. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
  125. Pause for thought
  126. Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
  127. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
  128. Atlantic overturning in decline?
  129. Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion
  130. Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability
  131. On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar
  132. Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”
  133. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
  134. Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
  135. Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe
  136. Reliability of regional climate model trends
  137. The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
  138. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model
  139. Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s
  140. Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
  141. Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N"
  142. Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
  143. Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
  144. Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6
  145. A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
  146. Meteorology: Counting the coming storms
  147. Our evolving climate
  148. Time of emergence of climate signals
  149. Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
  150. A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
  151. Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”
  152. Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability
  153. Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport
  154. Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach
  155. Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM
  156. Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
  157. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century
  158. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
  159. Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters
  160. Decadal Prediction
  161. The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
  162. Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
  163. Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  164. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  165. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  166. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type
  167. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the blue galaxy fraction and implications for the Butcher-Oemler effect
  168. The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies
  169. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe
  170. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type
  171. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the luminosity function of cluster galaxies
  172. No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data
  173. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters
  174. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type
  175. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Constraints on Cosmic Star Formation History from the Cosmic Spectrum
  176. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering
  177. The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function
  178. Climate projections.