All Stories

  1. An observational record of global gridded near-surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  2. High‐Impact Low‐Likelihood Climate Scenarios for Risk Assessment in the UK
  3. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  4. The rainfall observers
  5. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  6. Warming Stripes Spark Climate Conversations: From the Ocean to the Stratosphere
  7. Archives and Climate Science: Transforming Paper Documents into Global Climate Datasets
  8. How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
  9. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  10. Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
  11. An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  12. Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world
  13. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals
  14. GC Insights: Communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain
  15. Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves*
  16. River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
  17. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilizing Climate
  18. Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations
  19. The Importance and Scientific Value of Long Weather and Climate Records; Examples of Historical Marine Data Efforts across the Globe
  20. Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers
  21. ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
  22. The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle
  23. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks
  24. Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes
  25. New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints
  26. Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
  27. Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks
  28. The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
  29. Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6
  30. Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
  31. Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered
  32. Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists
  33. Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing
  34. Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels
  35. The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects
  36. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  37. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  38. U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities
  39. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
  40. Australian warming: observed change and global temperature targets
  41. Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century
  42. Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers
  43. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
  44. Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing
  45. Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown
  46. "The most important thing to do about climate change is to talk about it." – Katherine Hayhoe
  47. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  48. Emergence of opposite trends in daytime and night-time urban heat island intensities in England
  49. Sea ice and atmosphere interactions and predictability: preliminary results using HadGEM3
  50. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  51. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
  52. Supplementary material to "Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6"
  53. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  54. Supplementary material to "Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions"
  55. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6
  56. Causes of climate change over the historical record
  57. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  58. Observed emergence of the climate change signal: from the familiar to the unknown
  59. Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists
  60. Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993
  61. Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change
  62. Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers
  63. Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
  64. Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
  65. Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
  66. Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
  67. Interpretations of the Paris climate target
  68. Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
  69. Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming
  70. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability
  71. Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
  72. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals
  73. Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
  74. Global risk of deadly heat
  75. Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Climate Extremes
  76. Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates
  77. Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age
  78. Climate research must sharpen its view
  79. The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations
  80. Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
  81. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes
  82. CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models
  83. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
  84. The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1
  85. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
  86. Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach
  87. Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
  88. Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes
  89. Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation
  90. Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection
  91. Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
  92. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
  93. Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
  94. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  95. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations
  96. What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
  97. Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems
  98. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
  99. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
  100. The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets
  101. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes
  102. Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures
  103. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations
  104. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  105. Graphics: Scrap rainbow colour scales
  106. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures
  107. Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
  108. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
  109. Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
  110. The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications
  111. An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  112. A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales
  113. Wetter then drier in some tropical areas
  114. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
  115. Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
  116. The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
  117. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
  118. Pause for thought
  119. Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
  120. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
  121. Atlantic overturning in decline?
  122. Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion
  123. Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability
  124. On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar
  125. Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”
  126. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
  127. Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
  128. Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe
  129. Reliability of regional climate model trends
  130. The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
  131. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model
  132. Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s
  133. Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
  134. Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N"
  135. Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
  136. Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
  137. Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6
  138. A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
  139. Meteorology: Counting the coming storms
  140. Our evolving climate
  141. Time of emergence of climate signals
  142. Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
  143. A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
  144. Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”
  145. Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability
  146. Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport
  147. Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach
  148. Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM
  149. Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
  150. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century
  151. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
  152. Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters
  153. Decadal Prediction
  154. The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
  155. Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
  156. Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  157. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  158. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  159. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type
  160. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the blue galaxy fraction and implications for the Butcher-Oemler effect
  161. The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies
  162. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe
  163. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type
  164. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the luminosity function of cluster galaxies
  165. No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data
  166. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters
  167. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type
  168. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Constraints on Cosmic Star Formation History from the Cosmic Spectrum
  169. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering
  170. The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function
  171. Climate projections.