All Stories

  1. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  2. The rainfall observers
  3. MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data
  4. Warming Stripes Spark Climate Conversations: From the Ocean to the Stratosphere
  5. Archives and Climate Science: Transforming Paper Documents into Global Climate Datasets
  6. How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
  7. Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes
  8. Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
  9. An observational record of global gridded near surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781
  10. Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world
  11. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals
  12. GC Insights: Communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain
  13. Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves*
  14. River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
  15. Reversal of Projected European Summer Precipitation Decline in a Stabilizing Climate
  16. Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations
  17. The Importance and Scientific Value of Long Weather and Climate Records; Examples of Historical Marine Data Efforts across the Globe
  18. Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers
  19. ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world
  20. The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle
  21. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks
  22. Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes
  23. New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints
  24. Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
  25. Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks
  26. The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
  27. Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6
  28. Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
  29. Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered
  30. Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists
  31. Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing
  32. Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels
  33. The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects
  34. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  35. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  36. U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities
  37. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
  38. Australian warming: observed change and global temperature targets
  39. Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century
  40. Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers
  41. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
  42. Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing
  43. Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown
  44. "The most important thing to do about climate change is to talk about it." – Katherine Hayhoe
  45. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  46. Emergence of opposite trends in daytime and night-time urban heat island intensities in England
  47. Sea ice and atmosphere interactions and predictability: preliminary results using HadGEM3
  48. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  49. Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
  50. Supplementary material to "Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6"
  51. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
  52. Supplementary material to "Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions"
  53. ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6
  54. Causes of climate change over the historical record
  55. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
  56. Observed emergence of the climate change signal: from the familiar to the unknown
  57. Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists
  58. Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993
  59. Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change
  60. Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers
  61. Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
  62. Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions
  63. Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
  64. Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
  65. Interpretations of the Paris climate target
  66. Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
  67. Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming
  68. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability
  69. Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
  70. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals
  71. Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
  72. Global risk of deadly heat
  73. Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Climate Extremes
  74. Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates
  75. Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age
  76. Climate research must sharpen its view
  77. The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations
  78. Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
  79. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes
  80. CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models
  81. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
  82. The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1
  83. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
  84. Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach
  85. Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
  86. Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes
  87. Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation
  88. Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection
  89. Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
  90. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
  91. Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
  92. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  93. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations
  94. What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
  95. Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems
  96. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
  97. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
  98. The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets
  99. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes
  100. Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures
  101. Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations
  102. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
  103. Graphics: Scrap rainbow colour scales
  104. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures
  105. Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
  106. Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
  107. Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
  108. The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications
  109. An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  110. A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales
  111. Wetter then drier in some tropical areas
  112. Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
  113. Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
  114. The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
  115. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
  116. Pause for thought
  117. Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
  118. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
  119. Atlantic overturning in decline?
  120. Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion
  121. Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability
  122. On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar
  123. Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”
  124. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
  125. Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
  126. Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe
  127. Reliability of regional climate model trends
  128. The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
  129. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model
  130. Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s
  131. Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
  132. Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N"
  133. Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
  134. Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
  135. Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6
  136. A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments
  137. Meteorology: Counting the coming storms
  138. Our evolving climate
  139. Time of emergence of climate signals
  140. Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
  141. A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
  142. Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”
  143. Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability
  144. Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport
  145. Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach
  146. Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM
  147. Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
  148. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century
  149. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
  150. Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters
  151. Decadal Prediction
  152. The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
  153. Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
  154. Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
  155. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  156. Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions
  157. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type
  158. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the blue galaxy fraction and implications for the Butcher-Oemler effect
  159. The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies
  160. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe
  161. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type
  162. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the luminosity function of cluster galaxies
  163. No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data
  164. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters
  165. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type
  166. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Constraints on Cosmic Star Formation History from the Cosmic Spectrum
  167. The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering
  168. The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function
  169. Climate projections.