What is it about?

We explore a handful of novel ways to predict serve performance in professional tennis matches.

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Why is it important?

Predicting serve performance allows you to more accurately forecast the winner of a match, as well as more granular outcomes, such as the match length or likelihood of realizing different scores.

Perspectives

This paper outlines a few simple ways to improve upon the predictive performance of the standard Barnett-Clarke model, the most oft-cited model in tennis match prediction.

Jacob Gollub
Harvard University

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This page is a summary of: Forecasting serve performance in professional tennis matches, Journal of Sports Analytics, December 2021, IOS Press,
DOI: 10.3233/jsa-200345.
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