What is it about?
COVID-19 is a worldwide pandemic. Bangladesh is also passing a hard time fighting this pandemic. This paper attempts to model the spread of COVID-19 in Bangladesh using mathematical equations. The variables in the equations represents the COVID-19 infected, recovered, dead and also other types of individuals. The equations are numerically solved and fitted with observed data using Matlab. Solutions of the equations projects the transmission of COVID-19 in Bangladesh up to 6 April, 2021.
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Why is it important?
COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis which has mostly affected the developing countries such as Bangladesh. Since there is no vaccine or anti-viral against the novel coronavirus that causes COVID-19, it is almost impossible of Bangladesh to implement social distancing, lockdown and other non-pharmaceutical measures due to socioeconomic limitations and lack of social awareness. Therefore it is very important to analyse the impact of these measures and design a optimal effective policy accordingly to fight the pandemic. This study is one of such attempts that can be of help in fulfilling those goals.
Perspectives
While writing these papers, I noticed that though there are numerous novel/modified mathematical models of COVID-19 dynamics for many countries in the world, only a few works have been done for Bangladesh particularly. However, Bangladesh is suffering heavily due to this pandemic. So, more and more studies are needed in order to fight this pandemic.
Md. Mijanur Rahman
University of Dhaka
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: A Novel Compartmental Model for Analysis and Projection of COVID-19 Dynamics in Bangladesh, Advances in Research, July 2020, Sciencedomain International,
DOI: 10.9734/air/2020/v21i930228.
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