What is it about?
Mexico’s electricity sector, heavily dependent on fossil fuels, is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, but the country is tackling this challenge head-on with ambitious goals. The General Law on Climate Change sets a target to slash emissions by 50% by 2050 compared to 2000 levels and shift half of electricity production to clean energy sources. By planning a sustainable energy model for the National Electric System, Mexico is exploring scenarios that balance growing electricity demands with the potential of renewable energy, fossil fuel reserves, and technological costs. With low population growth and an annual per capita electricity use of 2.0 MWh, a diversified energy mix could make that 50% emissions cut achievable by 2050, paving the way for a greener future.
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Why is it important?
The key takeaway is that the LEAP model’s LVF-2.0 MWh scenario stands out as Mexico’s best shot at slashing CO2 emissions by 67.68 million tons each year by 2050, coming close to the country’s climate goals. This success hinges on keeping per capita electricity use low and ramping up clean energy sources, such as wind, solar, and hydropower, even as fossil fuel plants still play a significant role.
Perspectives
The next step for this project is to dive into how COVID-19 and the international crisis have shaken up energy use and markets, then weave those insights into fresh scenarios for 2050. This means tweaking the LEAP model to reflect these real-world changes, figuring out their impact on electricity demand, the mix of energy sources, and CO2 emissions, and seeing how they line up with Mexico’s big-picture climate and energy goals.
Professor Rosenberg J Romero
Universidad Autonoma del Estado de Morelos
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Comparison of Scenarios for the Mexican Electricity System for 2050 Energy Transition Law Objectives—Pre COVID-19 Analysis, Processes, January 2023, MDPI AG,
DOI: 10.3390/pr11020410.
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