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This study proposes a novel double-loop Kriging method under evidence theory to quantify time-dependent reliability with material degradation and time-varying loads, efficiently computing belief and plausibility bounds of failure probability through a dual surrogate modeling framework and a tailored learning function.

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This page is a summary of: Time-Dependent Reliability Analysis Method Under Evidence Uncertainty, AIAA Journal, August 2025, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA),
DOI: 10.2514/1.j065751.
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