What is it about?
The paper is about predicting the small failure probabilities of the highly safe systems.
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Why is it important?
Marcov-Chain Monte Carlo method is combined with Tail Modeling to increase the effectiveness of the conventional tail modeling.
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This page is a summary of: Reliability Estimation Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo–Based Tail Modeling, AIAA Journal, October 2017, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA),
DOI: 10.2514/1.j055947.
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