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Spacecraft conjunction assessment relies on different risk indicators, among which probability of collision, distance thresholds, and confidence intervals are the most widespread. We derive here a set of analytic and geometric properties relating those three metrics.

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This page is a summary of: Relations Between Collision Probability, Mahalanobis Distance, and Confidence Intervals for Conjunction Assessment, Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets, March 2022, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA),
DOI: 10.2514/1.a35234.
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