What is it about?

More information is appreciated by agents who need to take an important decision -- at least according to standard economics. Our paper demonstrates that this is often not the case if decisions are fundamental. As an important example, medical tests, e.g., for genetic disorders like Chorea Huntington, are often avoided by patients. In this paper, we propose testing approaches for those wo shy away from a perfectly revelatory test.

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Why is it important?

Currently, most people at risk of a severe genetic disorder such as Chorea Huntington refuse to take the diagnostic test. These people are afraid of losing their hope through a test result that confirms the disorder. We propose new tests that figure in this fear. These tests avoid ending up in a situation of no hope. This way, people who would like to know better, but who are too afraid of taking a perfectly revelatory test, can get some more information and do not have to refuse all testing. Therefore, they can develop better plans for their life and adapt better to the situation they are in. The results carry over to other situations in which anticipation and/or probability weighting play important roles for decision-makers.

Perspectives

As research progresses, more and more medical conditions will become detectable. Therefore, we both enjoyed working on this topic very much. As is, patients only have two choices: Carry out the medical test (which is as revelatory as technically possible) -- or go home! And too many decide to go home... With this paper, we propose new approaches that figure in behavioral aspects for these important testing decisions.

Nora Szech
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

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This page is a summary of: Optimal Revelation of Life-Changing Information, Management Science, February 2018, INFORMS,
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2017.2913.
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