What is it about?
An adverse slump sends the market into turmoil, with aftershocks coming in close succession.
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Why is it important?
We characterize a new source of risk and study its pricing in the joint equity and derivatives markets. A Hawkes jump-diffusion model capturing the self-exciting market disruptions leads to a resolution of the skew-response puzzle.
Perspectives
Self-excitation of rare events had been powerfully revealed after the financial crisis of 2008. It results in a revision of the fundamental equation underlying the classical Black-Scholes option pricing paradigm. And it shows the promise to better explain the time series and cross sectional option prices.
Dan Luo
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This page is a summary of: The Pricing of Jump Propagation: Evidence from Spot and Options Markets, Management Science, December 2017, INFORMS,
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2017.2885.
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