What is it about?

We estimate the effects of several institutional and other variables, such as corruption and the debt-to-GDP ratio, on household saving and on the probability that a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) social-security system will grant pensions.

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Why is it important?

Our topic is central in the literature on the credibility of the social-security system and on private saving, which has serious implications for capital formation and future income.

Perspectives

Our estimates may be useful in evaluating policy proposals aiming to improve the viability and the credibility of the Pay-as-you-go social-security systems in the countries considered in the paper. The may also help promote the idea of privately funded pensions, which implies increasing private saving, a goal that can be achieved by reducing the tax rates on interest and on capital gains. At times of recession and high external indebtedness in many countries, using appropriate taxation policies that motivate private saving seems crucial in improving national saving and encouraging capital accumulation.

Mr Dimitris Hatzinikolaou
University of Ioannina

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This page is a summary of: Modeling and Estimating the Effects of Institutional Variables on a Pay-as-you-go Social Security System and on Household Saving, Public Finance Review, April 2015, SAGE Publications,
DOI: 10.1177/1091142115579094.
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