What is it about?

-This article compares the controlling factors of urban expansion (i.e. sprawl) with densification (i.e. infill development). -It uses multinomial logistic regression with several classes as a dependent variable Y. -It discusses whether Y should be considered as nominal, categorical, or nested response. -It introduces Cadastral dataset as land use data. -It discusses the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) when aggregating data.

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Why is it important?

Our findings show that urban expansion keeps largely dominant in Wallonia, even though a modest shift toward infill development can be observed over the last decade. Densification is largely driven by proximity to already dense areas. It is not related with proximity to railway stations. Proximity to medium- and large-sized cities does neither appear to be a key factor in densification processes, even though it is certainly where infill development is most expected in terms of both real estate value and contribution to sustainable development.

Perspectives

A major difference in this paper compared with previous studies is that we examine the potential of the spatial models to explore the factors behind built-up development, considering different levels of density and the drivers of infill development

Ahmed Mustafa
University of Liège

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This page is a summary of: Addressing the determinants of built-up expansion and densification processes at the regional scale, Urban Studies, February 2018, SAGE Publications,
DOI: 10.1177/0042098017749176.
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