Spurious classes in GMM

What is it about?

Growth mixture modeling is generally used for two purposes: (1) to identify mixtures of normal subgroups and (2) to approximate oddly shaped distributions by a mixture of normal components. Often in applied research this methodology is applied to both of these situations indistinctly: using the same fit statistics and likelihood ratio tests. This can lead to the overextraction of latent classes and the attribution of substantive meaning to these spurious classes. The goals of this study are (1) to explore the performance of the Bayesian information criterion, sample-adjusted BIC, and bootstrap likelihood ratio test in growth mixture modeling analysis with nonnormal distributed outcome variables and (2) to examine the effects of nonnormal time invariant covariates in the estimation of the number of latent classes when outcome variables are normally distributed. For both of these goals, we will include nonnormal conditions not considered previously in the literature. Two simulation studies were conducted. Results show that spurious classes may be selected and optimal solutions obtained in the data analysis when the population departs from normality even when the nonnormality is only present in time invariant covariates.

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