Demonstrating how to project global sea-level rise hazard.

What is it about?

Projecting sea-level rise is difficult because the future climate and the responses of the ocean, glaciers, and ice sheets are uncertain. This paper demonstrates how greenhouse gas emissions scenarios and sea-level rise prediction models can be combined to model this uncertainty. The modeling process can also be used to find the major causes of sea-level rise uncertainty, such as the disagreement between current ice sheet models.

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Why is it important?

Uncertainty in sea-level rise projections makes it difficult for decision-makers to address sea-level rise hazard in an organized manner. Using the framework of Probabilistic Sea-Level Rise Hazard Analysis (PSLRHA), we can create a strategy for dealing with the uncertain future projection of sea-level rise.

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