What is it about?
We evaluated the quality of lightning forecasts made by the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh weather forecast system. Forecast quality is presented in terms of the fractions skill score for the western, central, and eastern United States.
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Why is it important?
Forecasts of lightning potential are relied on by the aviation industry, wildfire managers, severe storm warning systems, and many other. Knowing the limitations of forecasting thunderstorms is important for making decisions when the safety and success of certain activities depend on the hazardous weather associated with thunderstorms.
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Comparison of Lightning Forecasts from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model to Geostationary Lightning Mapper Observations, Weather and Forecasting, January 2020, American Meteorological Society, DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-19-0141.1.
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