What is it about?

This paper is about the development and testing of a model that can predict flight patterns of aircraft. This model can be used in two ways, either to generate a single prediction based on a current location or to generate a number of predictions that increase in accuracy with each observation.

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Why is it important?

We outline a model that can be implemented in two manners. It can either predict future flight locations or can be used to help develop flight paths that blend in with surrounding air traffic. This is valuable for certain parties that want to avoid being easily identified and tracked.

Perspectives

This paper is the culmination of a year's work and I am grateful for the lessons that it and my incredible advisors have taught me. I hope that readers find it interesting and that its results can be effectively implemented where necessary.

Charlie Harrington
United States Military Academy

Read the Original

This page is a summary of: A Bayesian spatio-temporal aircraft route predictive algorithm with applications to military operations, April 2021, SPIE,
DOI: 10.1117/12.2585129.
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