What is it about?
Investigates and compares user understanding and sender understanding of avalanche risk messages and highlights that both do not adopt the intended exponential interpretation of the scale.
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Why is it important?
Misunderstanding the exponential increase in avalanche danger can lead to a significant underestimation of risk at the higher -- most dangerous -- levels.
Perspectives
It's important that risk communicators ensure that the intended message is properly picked up. Here is an example where the intended interpretation is not widely shared by users and more can and maybe should be done to correct this
Philip Ebert
University of Stirling
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: End user and forecaster interpretations of the European Avalanche Danger Scale: A study of avalanche probability judgments in Scotland, Risk Analysis, March 2025, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1111/risa.70016.
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