What is it about?

Risk analysis approach to epidemic prioritization is very important but uncommon. The study aimed to develop a risk analysis framework to prioritize rapid response for situations of high risk. Based on findings from literature, socio-demographic features of the affected countries and documented epidemic data, a risk scoring framework using eighteen criteria, was developed. The framework includes measures of socio-economics, health systems, geographical factors, cultural beliefs and traditional practices

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Why is it important?

- We developed and demonstrated the utility of a risk-score framework for epidemic response. - Criteria which reflect socio-economic, geographical, traditional/cultural and health systems related parameters can be used to identify countries at high risk of catastrophic outcomes in terms of morbidity and mortality. - This framework can be modified and used by epidemiologists and public health personnel as a tool for identifying and prioritizing the need for urgent intervention in global epidemics and may reduce costly delays in response

Perspectives

Publishing this article provides personal satisfaction and climax to my post-graduate career in UNSW. The mentorship and relationship I enjoyed from my co-authors, especially Prof. Raina MaIntyre, is invaluable. This publication indeed is a novel approach to the "record-breaking" 2014 Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak. Reading this will leave an impression on your heart and make you reason beyond the conventional or conservative way.

Whenayon Simeon AJISEGIRI
University of New South Wales

Read the Original

This page is a summary of: A Risk Analysis Approach to Prioritizing Epidemics: Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa as a Case Study, Risk Analysis, August 2017, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1111/risa.12876.
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