What if you could find out your final grade before your course ends?

What is it about?

I helped undergraduate students mathematically forecast their own final grades while the course was still underway. 29% of the students said the forecast was lower than they had expected, while only 6% said it was higher. 47% subsequently said they were now studying more than planned, while 3% said they were studying less. Surprisingly, the difference between the forecast and their expectation did not influence their studying decision.

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Why is it important?

Many people are overly optimistic about their own learning. The goal of the grade forecasting exercise is to help students better understand their actual progress.

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