What is it about?

The aim of this study was to identify significant relationship of fire incidents in terms of location and time to build a model of fire risk forecasting in the capital city of Manila. A total of 3,506 fire incidents were recorded by the Bureau of Fire Protection (BFP) during the six-year period from 2011 to 2016. The overall record are 3506 fire incidents included in the study which analyzed using the Pearson’s Chi-square statistical technique. The summer months February to May showed the utmost number of fire, and that most fire incidents occurred from 9 AM to 11 AM and from 6 PM to 10 PM. The highest number of fire incidents recorded happened in the densely-populated districts of Sampaloc and Tondo.

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Why is it important?

The findings of this study can prove useful to the BFP office in Manila, in that they need to look at recurring trends in fire incidents in terms of location and month to create programs aimed towards fire prevention awareness.

Perspectives

Fire safety and prevention has always been a subject of concern in the Philippines, as fire incidents are a common cause of economic and ecological troubles every year. This research can be extended to include other spatial factors such as weather conditions and geographical coordinates in the assessment of fire incidents.

Francis Balahadia

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This page is a summary of: Correlation of Space and Time of Fire Incidence leading to Fire Risk Forecasting Model, November 2018, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE),
DOI: 10.1109/hnicem.2018.8666327.
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