What is it about?

Using portfolio theory to analyse terrorists' attack method opportunities and choices.

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Why is it important?

An algorithm can be used to find the terrorists' opportunities and anticipate their attack method choices.

Perspectives

A simple rendition of the terrorists' choice problem, amenable to analysis by optimisation methods and algorithmic computation. Can be made dynamic by simply recomputing the choice set at regular intervals.

Dr Peter J Phillips
University of Southern Queensland

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This page is a summary of: APPLYING MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY TO THE ANALYSIS OF TERRORISM. COMPUTING THE SET OF ATTACK METHOD COMBINATIONS FROM WHICH THE RATIONAL TERRORIST GROUP WILL CHOOSE IN ORDER TO MAXIMISE INJURIES AND FATALITIES, Defence and Peace Economics, June 2009, Taylor & Francis,
DOI: 10.1080/10242690801923124.
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