Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts

  • Erwan Monier, Sergey Paltsev, Andrei Sokolov, Y.-H. Henry Chen, Xiang Gao, Qudsia Ejaz, Evan Couzo, C. Adam Schlosser, Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Charles Fant, Jeffery Scott, David Kicklighter, Jennifer Morris, Henry Jacoby, Ronald Prinn, Martin Haigh
  • Nature Communications, February 2018, Nature Publishing Group
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-02984-9

Presenting an approach to estimate climate change impacts across different economic sectors

What is it about?

Climate impact assessments usually rely on modeling approaches that are either comprehensive but inflexible and inefficient, or lacking sufficient detail. Here we describe a framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts and show its capability and timely responsiveness to new policies.

Why is it important?

With such a modeling framework, we can conduct a multi-sectoral assessment of climate impacts under a range of consistent and integrated economic and climate scenarios that are responsive to new policies and business expectations. We illustrate the effectiveness of the framework by conducting a multi-sectoral climate impact assessment focusing on ocean acidification, air quality, water resources and agriculture under scenarios that include expectations from the Paris Agreement and a stabilization at 2ÂșC warming. This framework can be used to assess existing environmental and energy policies and help design new ones.


Erwan Monier
University of California, Davis

This paper is important because it describes the importance of coupled human-Earth system models to examine issues related to global change.

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