What is it about?
This paper defines a "stalling" type of weather system. It is defined as extratropical cyclone which remains near-stationary and produces extreme rainfall. This definition selects weather systems which are particularly impactful as they produce high total rainfall on large scales, which can result in flooding on a large scale. The paper then uses this definition to show where these systems tend to occur, and finds six hotspots, three in each hemisphere. These hotspots are generally located along the east coasts of major land masses, plus the Mediterranean. A link is drawn to East Coast Lows in Australia, Nor'Easters in North America, and similar events off the coast of South America, South Africa, Japan, and in the Mediterranean.
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Why is it important?
Some extratropical cyclones not only produce large amounts of rainfall, but they also stall their movement, resulting in high cumulative rainfall and thus flood risk. These are not small storms with very localised impact, but large-scale weather systems with a large impact footprint. While research has been done on such systems in Australia, where East Coast Lows represent a somewhat similar weather type, our research shows that this is a global phenomenon, where eastern coasts of the continents in both hemispheres seem to produce these slow-moving, rain-bearing cyclones.
Perspectives
This is a first go at defining stalling cyclones, and will form the basis of forthcoming work on understanding why stalling cyclones seem to "hug" the eastern coasts of our continents, and what we should expect in the future. A physical understanding of the relevant mechanisms will be important, as previous work by our group has also shown that climate models struggle to produce rainfall from weather systems in exactly the stalling hotspot regions.
Dr Martin Jucker
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Global Hotspots of Stalling Extratropical Cyclones, Geophysical Research Letters, June 2026, American Geophysical Union (AGU),
DOI: 10.1029/2025gl121058.
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