Migration and disease ecology: simple models

What is it about?

This paper shows how the mathematics used to understand epidemics and animal ecology is very similar. using simple mathematical models, the paper shows how migration of infected people from place to place can change how epidemics unfold.

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Why is it important?

This paper shows that for infections that last a long time, stopping the movement of people from place to place (quarantine) is unlikely to be very effective at controlling an epidemic. We saw this effect with HIV, where infection lasts a lifetime - just one person (patient zero) travelling could cause a global epidemic.