What is it about?

A novel methodology to produce high-resolution probabilistic forecasts is presented for a number of case studies

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Why is it important?

it is important because a new strategy to generate limited-area ensemble forecasts is proposed, showing encouraging results over a number of flood events in Southern Europe.

Perspectives

Writing this article gave the possibility to foresee future operational implementation of this strategy, this paving the way to daily probabilistic forecasts of high-impact weather at high resolution

Dr Andrea Montani
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts

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This page is a summary of: A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. II: Limited-area experiments in four Alpine flood events, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, July 2001, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1002/qj.49712757613.
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