What is it about?
Decision-making under weather uncertainty is a challenge in several fields.When the decision process involves many stakeholders, frequently with different interpretations of the meteorological information, the process is even more complex.
Featured Image
Why is it important?
This work provides a quantitative decision model with a new index (called the weather decision index, WDI) to support the stakeholders in making real-world choices according to their preferences regarding the uncertainty of weather information.
Perspectives
The findings also increase understanding of the forecast decision maker’s preferences and how to improve weather risk communication. The Weather Decision Index provides a starting point for several applications, including early warning systems or climate change adaptation, for which reliable uncertainty estimates are accessible.
Dr Amaury Caruzzo
International Civil Aviation Organization
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Modelling weather risk preferences with multi-criteria decision analysis for an aerospace vehicle launch, Meteorological Applications, March 2018, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1002/met.1713.
You can read the full text:
Resources
Contributors
The following have contributed to this page
