What is it about?
Low‐lying tropical coasts fronted by coral reefs are threatened by the effects of climate change, sea level rise, and flooding caused by waves. However, the reefs on these coasts differ widely in their shape, size, and physical characteristics; the wave and water level conditions affecting these coastlines also vary in space and time. These factors make it difficult to predict flooding caused by waves along coral reef‐lined coasts. We created a system (“BEWARE”) that estimates how different wave, water level, and reef combinations can lead to flooding. This tool tells us what information is needed to make good predictions of flooding. We found that information on water levels and waves is most important, followed by the width of the reef. BEWARE can be used to make short‐term predictions of flooding in early warning systems, or long‐term predictions of how climate change will affect flooding caused by waves on coral reef‐lined coasts.
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This page is a summary of: A Bayesian-Based System to Assess Wave-Driven Flooding Hazards on Coral Reef-Lined Coasts, Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans, December 2017, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1002/2017jc013204.
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