North Atlantic TC Frequency and the Caribbean Low Level Jet

What is it about?

The publication examines the use of forecast statistical schemes in simulating annual North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) numbers. The statistical models created from this analysis that simulate observed TC numbers well are used to generate future tropical cyclone numbers for the North Atlantic region. The analysis also highlights strong links between TC numbers and the Caribbean low level jet, an annual feature of the Caribbean subregion.

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Why is it important?

The publication adds to the study of the dynamics that drive North Atlantic tropical cyclone frequency and number by analyzing present and future trends through the predictors selected for forecast statistical modeling.