What is it about?
The sustainability and transformation planning (STP) process conducted in the English NHS during 2016 was designed to reduce health care costs. Some CCGs suggested that large reductions in hospital bed numbers were possible. A new method for international bed comparison shows that such reductions were the output of flawed modelling rather than reality.
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Why is it important?
Accurate modelling of health care demand is essential for correct planning of future services.
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This page is a summary of: Were the hospital bed reductions proposed by English Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) in the sustainability and transformation plans (STPs) achievable? Insights from a new model to compare international bed numbers, The International Journal of Health Planning and Management, December 2020, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1002/hpm.3094.
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