All Stories

  1. Forecasting Referendums: A Structural Model Predicting Adoption and Support in Irish Plebiscites 1968–2024

    Article • Politics and Governance, April 2025, Cogitatio

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  2. A Political History Forecast of Bloc Support in the 2025 German Federal Election

    Article • PS Political Science & Politics, February 2025, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  3. Campaigns, Mobilisation, and Composition Effects in the 2018 Irish Abortion Referendum

    Article • Politics and Governance, January 2025, Cogitatio

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  4. The Popularity Factor: A Comparative Investigation of Demand-Side Behavioral Personalization

    Article • Political Studies, December 2024, SAGE Publications

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  5. A Political History Forecast of the 2024 US Congressional Elections

    Article • PS Political Science & Politics, October 2024, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  6. Electoral Messiah or Party Label? Quantifying and Investigating Leader-Party Relationships in German Federal Elections 1998–2021

    Article • Electoral Studies, February 2024, Elsevier

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  7. A Political-History Forecast Model of Congressional Elections: Lessons Learned from Campaign 2022

    Article • Polity, July 2023, University of Chicago Press

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  8. Predicting bloc support in Irish general elections 1951–2020: A political history model

    Article • Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties, November 2022, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  9. Macroeconomy and macropartisanship: Economic conditions and party identification

    Article • Politics &amp Policy, June 2022, Wiley

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  10. Special elections in alternative vote electoral systems: Exploring turnout and the vote in Irish by-elections 1923–2019

    Article • The British Journal of Politics and International Relations, October 2021, SAGE Publications

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  11. Brexit and prosperity but defeat: the economic vote conundrum in the 2020 Irish election

    Article • Irish Political Studies, October 2021, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  12. Forecasting government support in Irish general elections: Opinion polls and structural models

    Article • International Journal of Forecasting, October 2021, Elsevier

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  13. Forecasting Bloc Support in German Federal Elections: A Political-History Model

    Article • PS Political Science & Politics, September 2021, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  14. Leader or party? Quantifying and exploring behavioral personalization 1996–2019

    Article • Party Politics, June 2021, SAGE Publications

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  15. Vote overreporting in national election surveys: a 55-nation exploratory study

    Article • Acta Politica, May 2021, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  16. Female leader popularity and the vote, 1996–2016: a global exploratory analysis

    Article • European Journal of Politics and Gender, January 2021, Policy Press

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  17. Following the coalition? Testing the impact of coalitions on policy preferences in Germany

    Article • Party Politics, December 2020, SAGE Publications

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  18. The transfers game: A comparative analysis of the mechanical effect of lower preference votes in STV systems

    Article • International Political Science Review, April 2020, SAGE Publications

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  19. The Compleat German Economic Voter: New Pathways in Patrimonial and Positional Economic Voting

    Article • German Politics, April 2020, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  20. Exploring the neglected dimension of the economic vote: a global analysis of the positional economics thesis

    Article • European Political Science Review, March 2020, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  21. Patrimonial economic voting: a cross-national analysis of asset ownership and the vote

    Article • Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties, September 2019, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  22. The Hillary Hypotheses: Testing Candidate Views of Loss

    Article • Perspectives on Politics, August 2019, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  23. Economic Voting in EU Referendums: Sociotropic versus Egocentric Voting in the Lisbon Treaty Plebiscites in Ireland

    Article • Politics and Governance, June 2019, Cogitatio

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  24. ‘Show me the money and the party!’ – variation in Facebook and Twitter adoption by politicians

    Article • Information Communication & Society, April 2017, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  25. The decline of a dominant political monolith: understanding Fianna Fáil’s vote 1987–2016

    Article • Irish Political Studies, January 2017, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  26. This time it's different … but not really! The 2014 European Parliament elections in Ireland

    Article • Irish Political Studies, March 2016, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  27. Context Matters: Economic Voting in the 2009 and 2014 European Parliament Elections

    Article • Politics and Governance, February 2016, Cogitatio

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  28. Facilitating the Electorate: A Multilevel Analysis of Election Timing, Registration Procedures, and Turnout

    Article • Irish Political Studies, October 2015, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  29. Online discussion and the 2014 Scottish independence referendum: Flaming keyboards or forums for deliberation?

    Article • Electoral Studies, June 2015, Elsevier

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  30. Comparative Effectiveness Of Rosuvastatin Versus Other Statins On Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (Ldl-C) Reduction In High Risk Patients

    Article • Value in Health, May 2014, Elsevier

    Dr Ozgur Tunceli, Dr Stephen Quinlan

  31. The Lisbon Experience in Ireland: ‘No’ in 2008 but ‘Yes’ in 2009 – How and Why?

    Article • Irish Political Studies, February 2012, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  32. The 2009 European Parliament Election in Ireland

    Article • Irish Political Studies, May 2010, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan

  33. The Lisbon Treaty Referendum 2008

    Article • Irish Political Studies, February 2009, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Stephen Quinlan