All Stories

  1. Valid inferences about soil carbon in heterogeneous landscapes

    Article • Geoderma, February 2023, Elsevier

    Philip Stark

  2. Ballot-Polling Audits of Instant-Runoff Voting Elections with a Dirichlet-Tree Model

    Article • January 2023, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  3. Non(c)esuch Ballot-Level Comparison Risk-Limiting Audits

    Article • January 2023, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  4. Pay No Attention to the Model Behind the Curtain

    Article • Pure and Applied Geophysics, September 2022, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  5. Reproducibility, p‐values, and type III errors: response to Mayo (2022)

    Article • Conservation Biology, August 2022, Wiley

    Philip Stark

  6. More Style, Less Work: Card-style Data Decrease Risk-limiting Audit Sample Sizes

    Article • Digital Threats Research and Practice, December 2021, ACM (Association for Computing Machinery)

    Philip Stark

  7. Assertion-Based Approaches to Auditing Complex Elections, with Application to Party-List Proportional Elections

    Article • January 2021, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  8. Auditing Hamiltonian Elections

    Article • January 2021, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  9. RiLACS: Risk Limiting Audits via Confidence Sequences

    Article • January 2021, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  10. Who Was that Masked Voter? The Tally Won’t Tell!

    Article • January 2021, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  11. A Unified Evaluation of Two-Candidate Ballot-Polling Election Auditing Methods

    Article • January 2020, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  12. Open-source food: Nutrition, toxicology, and availability of wild edible greens in the East Bay

    Article • PLoS ONE, January 2019, PLOS

    Philip Stark

  13. Auditing Indian Elections

    Article • January 2019, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  14. Election Integrity and Electronic Voting Machines in 2018 Georgia, USA

    Article • January 2019, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  15. Open-Source Food: Nutrition, Toxicology, and Availability of Wild Edible Greens in the East Bay

    Article • August 2018, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press

    Philip Stark

  16. Cargo-cult statistics and scientific crisis

    Article • Significance, July 2018, Wiley

    Professor Andrea Saltelli, Philip Stark

  17. Before reproducibility must come preproducibility

    Article • Nature, May 2018, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  18. Fixing statistics is more than a technical issue

    Article • Nature, January 2018, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Andrea Saltelli, Philip Stark

  19. Risk-Limiting Audits by Stratified Union-Intersection Tests of Elections (SUITE)

    Article • January 2018, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  20. Why is Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) still used?

    Article • Physics of The Earth and Planetary Interiors, March 2017, Elsevier

    Philip Stark

  21. Privacy, Big Data, and the Public Good: Frameworks for Engagement

    Article • The American Statistician, January 2016, Taylor & Francis

    Philip Stark

  22. Student evaluations of teaching (mostly) do not measure teaching effectiveness

    Article • ScienceOpen Research, January 2016, ScienceOpen

    Philip Stark

  23. Why We Need a New Paradigm of Earthquake Occurrence

    Article • September 2015, Wiley

    Philip Stark

  24. Detecting the influence of rare stressors on rare species in Yosemite National Park using a novel stratified permutation test

    Article • Scientific Reports, June 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  25. Some People Have All the Luck

    Article • Mathematics Magazine, June 2015, Taylor & Francis

    Philip Stark

  26. Nine Out of 10 Restaurants Fail? Check, Please

    Article • Significance, April 2015, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  27. Constraints versus Priors

    Article • SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, January 2015, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Philip Stark

  28. Mini-Minimax Uncertainty Quantification for Emulators

    Article • SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, January 2015, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Philip Stark

  29. An evaluation of course evaluations

    Article • ScienceOpen Research, September 2014, ScienceOpen

    Philip Stark

  30. Simultaneous confidence intervals uniformly more likely to determine signs

    Article • Biometrika, February 2013, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  31. A Gentle Introduction to Risk-Limiting Audits

    Article • IEEE Security & Privacy, September 2012, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Philip Stark

  32. Evidence-Based Elections

    Article • IEEE Security & Privacy, September 2012, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Philip Stark

  33. Cheap contouring of costly functions: the Pilot Approximation Trajectory algorithm

    Article • Computational Science & Discovery, August 2012, Institute of Physics Publishing

    Philip Stark

  34. Poisson tests of declustered catalogues

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, February 2012, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  35. Global risk of big earthquakes has not recently increased

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, December 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Philip Stark

  36. Sharper p-Values for Stratified Election Audits

    Article • Statistics Politics and Policy, January 2011, De Gruyter

    Philip Stark

  37. A Primer of Frequentist and Bayesian Inference in Inverse Problems

    Article • October 2010, Wiley

    Philip Stark

  38. Null and Vetoed: Chance Coincidence?

    Article • CHANCE, September 2010, Taylor & Francis

    Philip Stark

  39. Null and vetoed: Chance

    Article • CHANCE, September 2010, Taylor & Francis

    Philip Stark

  40. Risk-Limiting Vote-Tabulation Audits: The Importance of Cluster Size

    Article • CHANCE, June 2010, Taylor & Francis

    Philip Stark

  41. CAST: Canvass Audits by Sampling and Testing

    Article • IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics and Security, December 2009, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Philip Stark

  42. Election Audits Using a Trinomial Bound

    Article • IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics and Security, December 2009, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Philip Stark

  43. Risk-Limiting Postelection Audits: Conservative $P$-Values From Common Probability Inequalities

    Article • IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics and Security, December 2009, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Philip Stark

  44. Statistical Models and Causal Inference

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  45. On the So-Called “Huber Sandwich Estimator” and “Robust Standard Errors”

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  46. What is the Chance of an Earthquake?

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  47. The Swine Flu Vaccine and Guillain-Barré Syndrome: A Case Study in Relative Risk and Specific Causation

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  48. Salt and Blood Pressure: Conventional Wisdom Reconsidered

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  49. On Regression Adjustments in Experiments with Several Treatments

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  50. Survival Analysis: An Epidemiological Hazard?

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  51. The Grand Leap

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  52. Randomization Does Not Justify Logistic Regression

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  53. Weighting Regressions by Propensity Scores

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  54. On Specifying Graphical Models for Causation, and the Identification Problem

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  55. Black Ravens, White Shoes, and Case Selection: Inference with Categorical Variables

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  56. Rejoinder to King

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  57. Diagnostics Cannot Have Much Power Against General Alternatives

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  58. Endogeneity in Probit Response Models

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  59. Preface

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  60. References and Further Reading

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  61. On Types of Scientific Inquiry: The Role of Qualitative Reasoning

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  62. Issues in the Foundations of Statistics: Probability and Statistical Models

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  63. Editors' Introduction: Inference and Shoe Leather

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  64. Statistical Models and Shoe Leather

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  65. Statistical Assumptions as Empirical Commitments

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  66. On “Solutions” to the Ecological Inference Problem

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  67. Methods for Census 2000 and Statistical Adjustments

    Article • November 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  68. Constructing Confidence Regions of Optimal Expected Size

    Article • Journal of the American Statistical Association, September 2009, Taylor & Francis

    Philip Stark

  69. Simple prediction of interaction strengths in complex food webs

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, January 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Philip Stark

  70. Efficient Post-Election Audits of Multiple Contests: 2009 California Tests

    Article • SSRN Electronic Journal, January 2009, Elsevier

    Philip Stark

  71. Implementing Risk-Limiting Post-Election Audits in California

    Article • SSRN Electronic Journal, January 2009, Elsevier

    Philip Stark

  72. A sharper discrepancy measure for post-election audits

    Article • The Annals of Applied Statistics, September 2008, Institute of Mathematical Statistics

    Philip Stark

  73. Conservative statistical post-election audits

    Article • The Annals of Applied Statistics, June 2008, Institute of Mathematical Statistics

    Philip Stark

  74. Generalizing resolution

    Article • Inverse Problems, May 2008, Institute of Physics Publishing

    Philip Stark

  75. Guest Editors' introduction to the special section on statistical and computational issues in inverse problems

    Article • Inverse Problems, May 2008, Institute of Physics Publishing

    Philip Stark

  76. Testing earthquake predictions

    Article • January 2008, Institute of Mathematical Statistics

    Philip Stark

  77. Ecological Inference

    Article • January 2007, SAGE Publications

    Philip Stark

  78. Decline of speech understanding and auditory thresholds in the elderly

    Article • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of America, August 2005, Acoustical Society of America (ASA)

    Philip Stark

  79. Minimax expected measure confidence sets for restricted location parameters

    Article • Bernoulli, August 2005, Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

    Philip Stark

  80. Estimating Power Spectra of Galaxy Structure: Can Statistics Help?

    Article • January 2004, Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark

  81. Capture-Recapture

    Article • January 2004, SAGE Publications

    Philip Stark

  82. Census Adjustment

    Article • January 2004, SAGE Publications

    Philip Stark

  83. Inverse problems as statistics

    Article • Inverse Problems, May 2002, Institute of Physics Publishing

    Philip Stark

  84. The Swine Flu Vaccine and Guillain-Barre Syndrome: A Case Study in Relative Risk and Specific Causation

    Article • Law and Contemporary Problems, January 2001, JSTOR

    Philip Stark

  85. Multitaper spectrum estimation for time series with gaps

    Article • IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing, January 2000, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Philip Stark

  86. Bigger uncertainties and the Big Bang

    Article • Inverse Problems, January 1999, Institute of Physics Publishing

    Philip Stark

  87. Earthquake prediction: the null hypothesis

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, December 1997, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  88. Data reduction and statistical inconsistency in linear inverse problems

    Article • Physics of The Earth and Planetary Interiors, December 1996, Elsevier

    Philip Stark

  89. Shrinkage estimators, Skorokhod's problem and stochastic integration by parts

    Article • The Annals of Statistics, April 1996, Institute of Mathematical Statistics

    Philip Stark

  90. Nonequivariant Simultaneous Confidence Intervals Less Likely to Contain Zero

    Article • Journal of the American Statistical Association, March 1996, Taylor & Francis

    Philip Stark

  91. Finite-Sample Confidence Envelopes for Shape-Restricted Densities

    Article • The Annals of Statistics, April 1995, Institute of Mathematical Statistics

    Philip Stark

  92. Uncertainties for two-dimensional models of solar rotation from helioseismic eigenfrequency splitting

    Article • The Astrophysical Journal, April 1995, American Astronomical Society

    Philip Stark

  93. Confidence regions for mantle heterogeneity

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, January 1994, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  94. Empirically Minimax Affine Mineralogy Estimates from Fourier Transform Infrared Spectrometry Using a Decimated Wavelet Basis

    Article • Applied Spectroscopy, November 1993, SAGE Publications

    Philip Stark

  95. Are the 1986-1988 changes in solar free-oscillation frequency splitting significant?

    Article • The Astrophysical Journal, September 1993, American Astronomical Society

    Philip Stark

  96. Toward tubular tomography

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, May 1993, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  97. Geomagnetic field models incorporating frozen-flux constraints

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, May 1993, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  98. Uncertainty of the Cosmic Background Explorer quadrupole detection

    Article • The Astrophysical Journal, May 1993, American Astronomical Society

    Philip Stark

  99. Bumps on the core-mantle boundary: Are they facts or artifacts?

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, February 1993, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  100. Reproducing Earth's kernel: Uncertainty of the shape of the core-mantle boundary fromPKPandPcPtravel times

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, February 1993, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  101. A note on rearrangements, spectral concentration, and the zero-order prolate spheroidal wavefunction

    Article • IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, January 1993, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Philip Stark

  102. Minimax confidence intervals in geomagnetism

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, January 1992, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  103. Affine minimax confidence intervals for a bounded normal mean

    Article • Statistics & Probability Letters, January 1992, Elsevier

    Philip Stark

  104. Inference in infinite-dimensional inverse problems: Discretization and duality

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, January 1992, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  105. Uncertainty Principles and Signal Recovery

    Article • SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, June 1989, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Philip Stark

  106. Correction to “Velocity Bounds From Statistical Estimates of τ(p) and X(p)” by Philip B. Stark and Robert L. Parker

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, November 1988, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  107. Comment Concerning 'A Method of Obtaining A Velocity-Depth Envelope From Wide-Angle Seismic Data' By R. Mithal and J. B. Diebold

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, October 1988, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  108. Rigorous velocity bounds from soft ? (p) and X(p) data

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, June 1987, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  109. Smooth profiles from ? (p) and X(p) data

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, June 1987, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Philip Stark

  110. Velocity bounds from statistical estimates of τ (p) andX(p)

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, March 1987, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  111. Strict Bounds on Seismic Velocity in the Spherical Earth

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, January 1986, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  112. The depths of the deepest deep earthquakes

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, January 1985, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Philip Stark

  113. Foreword to the Revised Edition

    Article • Cambridge University Press

    Philip Stark

  114. Inference in Microwave Cosmology: A Frequentist Perspective

    Article • Springer Science + Business Media

    Philip Stark