All Stories

  1. Transformed Ensemble post-processing method

    Article • Meteorology, July 2025, MDPI AG

    Jun Du

  2. A Review on Development, Challenges, and Future Perspectives of Ensemble Forecast

    Article • Journal of Meteorological Research, June 2025, Tsinghua University Press

    Jun Du

  3. Anomaly-Based Variable Models: Examples of Unusual Track and Extreme Precipitation of Tropical Cyclones

    Article • Meteorology, June 2024, MDPI AG

    Jun Du, Dr. Jeremy Leung

  4. Why are severe weather and anomalous climate events often associated with the orthogonal convergence of airflows?

    Article • Weather and Climate Extremes, December 2023, Elsevier

    Dr. Jeremy Leung, Jun Du

  5. How Should a Numerical Weather Prediction Be Used: Full Field or Anomaly? A Conceptual Demonstration with a Lorenz Model

    Article • Atmosphere, September 2022, MDPI AG

    Jun Du

  6. Anomaly Format of Atmospheric Governing Equations with Climate as a Reference Atmosphere

    Article • Meteorology, April 2022, MDPI AG

    Jun Du

  7. Anomaly Based Synoptic Analysis and Model Prediction of Six Dust Storms Moving From Mongolia to Northern China in Spring 2021

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, March 2022, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr. Jeremy Leung, Jun Du

  8. Ground-level ozone simulation using ensemble WRF/Chem predictions over the Southeast United States

    Article • Chemosphere, January 2022, Elsevier

    Jun Du

  9. Perturbing Topography in a Convection‐Allowing Ensemble Prediction System for Heavy Rain Forecasts

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, July 2021, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Jun Du

  10. Measure of Forecast Challenge and Predictability Horizon Diagram Index for Ensemble Models

    Article • Weather and Forecasting, June 2019, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  11. Major Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) and the Future of EPS

    Article • January 2019, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  12. Ensemble Methods for Meteorological Predictions

    Article • January 2019, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  13. Major Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) and the Future of EPS

    Article • January 2018, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  14. An index of anomalous convective instability to detect tornadic and hail storms

    Article • Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, December 2017, Springer Science + Business Media

    Mr Jeremy Cheuk-Hin Leung, Jun Du, Dr. Jeremy Leung

  15. Ensemble Fog Prediction

    Article • January 2017, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  16. Reply to “Comments on ‘Incorporating the Effects of Moisture into a Dynamical Parameter: Moist Vorticity and Moist Divergence’”

    Article • Weather and Forecasting, August 2016, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  17. A comprehensive approach from the raw and normalized anomalies to the analysis and prediction of the Beijing extreme rainfall on July 21, 2012

    Article • Natural Hazards, August 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  18. Anomaly-Based Weather Analysis versus Traditional Total-Field-Based Weather Analysis for Depicting Regional Heavy Rain Events

    Article • Weather and Forecasting, February 2016, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  19. Incorporating the Effects of Moisture into a Dynamical Parameter: Moist Vorticity and Moist Divergence

    Article • Weather and Forecasting, December 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  20. A Comparison between a Generalized Beta–Advection Model and a Classical Beta–Advection Model in Predicting and Understanding Unusual Typhoon Tracks in Eastern China Seas

    Article • Weather and Forecasting, June 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  21. A unified approach to trace surface heat and cold events by using height anomaly

    Article • Climate Dynamics, May 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  22. Using a mesoscale ensemble to predict forecast error and perform targeted observation

    Article • Acta Oceanologica Sinica, January 2014, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  23. Ensemble-based analysis and sensitivity of mesoscale forecasts of a vortex over southwest China

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, September 2013, Wiley

    Da-Lin Zhang, Jun Du

  24. Verification of Precipitation Forecasts from NCEP’s Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) System with Reference to Ensemble Streamflow Prediction Using Lumped Hydrologic Models

    Article • Journal of Hydrometeorology, June 2012, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  25. An Overview of the Beijing 2008 Olympics Research and Development Project (B08RDP)

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, March 2012, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  26. A Dynamical Performance-Ranking Method for Predicting Individual Ensemble Member Performance and Its Application to Ensemble Averaging

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, October 2011, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  27. Forecast of Low Visibility and Fog from NCEP: Current Status and Efforts

    Article • Pure and Applied Geophysics, May 2011, Springer Science + Business Media

    Jun Du

  28. Probabilistic Precipitation Forecast Skill as a Function of Ensemble Size and Spatial Scale in a Convection-Allowing Ensemble

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, May 2011, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  29. Verification and intercomparison of mesoscale ensemble prediction systems in the Beijing 2008 Olympics Research and Development Project

    Article • Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, January 2011, Taylor & Francis

    Jun Du

  30. Fog Prediction from a Multimodel Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System

    Article • Weather and Forecasting, February 2010, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  31. Calibration of Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts with an Artificial Neural Network

    Article • Weather and Forecasting, December 2007, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  32. Short-Range Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts over the Southwest United States by the RSM Ensemble System

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, May 2007, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  33. Verification of Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts over the Southwest United States during Winter 2002/03 by the RSM Ensemble System

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, January 2005, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  34. Removal of Distortion Error from an Ensemble Forecast

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, September 2000, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  35. The Dependence of Ensemble Dispersion on Analysis–Forecast Systems: Implications to Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting of Precipitation

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, July 1999, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du

  36. Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting of Quantitative Precipitation

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, October 1997, American Meteorological Society

    Jun Du