All Stories

  1. Introduction to Focus Issue: Nonautonomous dynamical systems: Theory, methods, and applications

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, April 2026, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  2. Extracting persistent topological modes of variability in complex dynamics from data

    Article • March 2026, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  3. Minimal modelling of non-equilibrium dynamics in coupled climate–economy systems

    Article • March 2026, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  4. Stochastic neural emulators for subpolar gyre variability and tipping-risk prediction in Earth system models

    Article • March 2026, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  5. Topological modes of variability of the wind-driven ocean circulation

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, September 2025, American Institute of Physics

    Gisela Daniela Charó, Professor Ghil Michael , Denisse Sciamarella

  6. Forecast error growth: A dynamic–stochastic model

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, July 2025, American Institute of Physics

    Eviatar Bach, Professor Ghil Michael

  7. Exponential stability for a forecast-assimilation process with unstable dynamics

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, May 2025, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  8. Intraseasonal atmospheric variability under climate trends

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, May 2025, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  9. A stable hothouse triggered by a tipping mechanism

    Article • March 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  10. A topological perspective on the wind-driven ocean circulation

    Article • March 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  11. The Wind-Driven Double-Gyre Circulation: A topological characterization of attractors across regimes

    Article • March 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  12. Topological fingerprinting of dynamical systems

    Article • March 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  13. Unraveling ocean-atmosphere coupled variability with Transfer Entropy and Information Flow  

    Article • March 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  14. Extreme events in a templex

    Article • January 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  15. Intraseasonal atmospheric variability under climate trends

    Article • January 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  16. Some Thoughts on Causal Inference, the Scientific Method, and Data Assimilation

    Article • January 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  17. Temperature at 500hPa, energy budget and the 2003 summer heatwave over Western Europe: a triple-decomposition approach

    Article • January 2025, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  18. Improved subseasonal prediction of South Asian monsoon rainfall using data-driven forecasts of oscillatory modes

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, April 2024, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Eviatar Bach, Professor Ghil Michael

  19. Crossing planetary boundaries could lead to Hothouse Earth

    Article • March 2024, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  20. Crossing planetary boundaries could lead to Hothouse Earth

    Article • February 2024, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  21. Review article: Dynamical systems, algebraic topology and the climate sciences

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, October 2023, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  22. Random templex encodes topological tipping points in noise-driven chaotic dynamics

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, October 2023, American Institute of Physics

    Denisse Sciamarella, Professor Ghil Michael

  23. Multichannel singular spectrum analysis of InSAR datasets: data-adaptive interpolation and decomposition of Sentinel-1 time series at Pacaya Volcano, Guatemala

    Article • September 2023, Wiley

    Professor Ghil Michael

  24. Climate, zoonosis, and interdisciplinarity

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, September 2023, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Professor Ghil Michael

  25. Forecast error growth: A stochastic differential equation model

    Article • May 2023, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  26. Identifying topological tipping points in noise-driven chaotic dynamics using random templexes

    Article • May 2023, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  27. Improved subseasonal prediction of South Asian monsoon rainfall using data-driven forecasts of oscillatory modes

    Article • May 2023, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  28. Minimal Modelling of Internal Macroeconomic Variability

    Article • May 2023, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  29. Review Article: Dynamical Systems, Algebraic Topology, and the Climate Sciences

    Article • February 2023, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  30. Data assimilation works for unstable systems

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, February 2023, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  31. Orbital insolation variations, intrinsic climate variability, and Quaternary glaciations

    Article • Climate of the Past, April 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  32. Asymptotic behavior of the forecast-assimilation process with unstable dynamics

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  33. Early warning signals for topological tipping points

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  34. Nonautonomous dynamics and its applications to paleoclimate

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  35. Paleoclimatic tipping points and abrupt transitions: An application of advanced time series analysis methods

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  36. Time-dependent forcing in the geosciences and in epidemiology

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  37. A multi-model ensemble Kalman filter for forecasting and data assimilation

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  38. Cascade of abrupt transitions in past climates

    Article • March 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  39. Abrupt climate changes and the astronomical theory: are they related?

    Article • Climate of the Past, February 2022, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  40. Automatic detection of abrupt transitions in paleoclimate records

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, November 2021, American Institute of Physics

    Witold Bagniewski, Professor Ghil Michael

  41. Orbital Insolation Variations, Intrinsic Climate Variability, and Quaternary Glaciations

    Article • October 2021, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  42. Noise-driven topological changes in chaotic dynamics

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, October 2021, American Institute of Physics

    Gisela Daniela Charó, Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  43. Abrupt climate changes and the astronomical theory

    Article • August 2021, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  44. Global oscillatory modes in high-end climate modeling and reanalyses

    Article • Climate Dynamics, July 2021, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  45. Reduced-order models for coupled dynamical systems: Data-driven methods and the Koopman operator

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, May 2021, American Institute of Physics

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  46. Glaciation cycle models and their pullback attractors

    Article • March 2021, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  47. A global decadal mode in a high-end climate model and in observations: Any connection to the solar cycle?

    Article • March 2021, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  48. Extratropical low-frequency variability with ENSO forcing: a reduced-order coupled model study  

    Article • March 2021, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  49. Tipping points induced by parameter drift in an excitable low-order model of the wind-driven ocean circulation

    Article • March 2021, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  50. Ranking IPCC Model Performance Using the Wasserstein Distance

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, October 2020, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr Valerio Lembo, Professor Ghil Michael

  51. Review article: Hilbert problems for the climate sciences in the 21st century – 20 years later

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, September 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  52. The physics of climate variability and climate change

    Article • Reviews of Modern Physics, July 2020, American Physical Society (APS)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  53. Short Comment SC1 by Valerio Lucarini

    Article • July 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  54. Ranking IPCC Models Using the Wasserstein Distance

    Article • June 2020, Wiley

    Dr Valerio Lembo, Professor Ghil Michael

  55. Posted anonymous comment #3 (npg-2020-13-RC3)

    Article • June 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  56. Posted anonymous comment #1

    Article • June 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  57. Hilbert problems for the geosciences in the 21st century – 20 years later

    Article • May 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  58. Dansgaard–Oeschger-like events of the penultimate climate cycle: the loess point of view

    Article • Climate of the Past, April 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  59. The Lorenz convection model's random attractor (LORA) and its robust topology

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  60. Bifurcations, Global Change, Tipping Points and All That

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  61. Arnold Maps with Noise: Differentiability and Non-monotonicity of the Rotation Number

    Article • Journal of Statistical Physics, November 2019, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  62. DO-like events of the penultimate climate cycle: the loess point of view

    Article • October 2019, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  63. Supplementary material to "DO-like events of the penultimate climate cycle: the loess point of view"

    Article • October 2019, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  64. Data-adaptive spatio-temporal filtering of GRACE data

    Article • Geophysical Journal International, September 2019, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  65. A Century of Nonlinearity in the Geosciences

    Article • Earth and Space Science, July 2019, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  66. Estimating model evidence using ensemble‐based data assimilation with localization – The model selection problem

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, March 2019, Wiley

    Professor Ghil Michael

  67. Extratropical Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Oscillations and Multiple Regimes: The Dynamical Systems View

    Article • January 2019, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  68. Oscillatory nature of the Okmok volcano's deformation

    Article • Earth and Planetary Science Letters, January 2019, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  69. Ocean circulation, ice shelf, and sea ice interactions explain Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, November 2018, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Professor Ghil Michael

  70. Coupled Climate-Economic Modes in the Sahel's Interannual Variability

    Article • Ecological Economics, November 2018, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  71. The onset of chaos in nonautonomous dissipative dynamical systems: a low-order ocean-model case study

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, September 2018, Copernicus GmbH

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  72. Inverse stochastic–dynamic models for high-resolution Greenland ice core records

    Article • Earth System Dynamics, December 2017, Copernicus GmbH

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  73. Economic networks: Heterogeneity-induced vulnerability and loss of synchronization

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, December 2017, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  74. Introduction to focus issue: Synchronization in large networks and continuous media—data, models, and supermodels

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, December 2017, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  75. Synchronization of world economic activity

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, December 2017, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  76. A complete representation of uncertainties in layer-counted paleoclimatic archives

    Article • Climate of the Past, September 2017, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  77. Interannual Variability in the North Atlantic Ocean’s Temperature Field and Its Association with the Wind Stress Forcing

    Article • Journal of Climate, April 2017, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  78. Evidence of coupling in ocean‐atmosphere dynamics over the North Atlantic

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, February 2017, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  79. Coupled Climate–Economy–Biosphere (CoCEB) model – Part 1: Abatement efficacy of low-carbon technologies

    Article • January 2017, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  80. Estimating model evidence using data assimilation

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, January 2017, Wiley

    Professor Ghil Michael

  81. The wind-driven ocean circulation: Applying dynamical systems theory to a climate problem

    Article • Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, January 2017, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  82. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes

    Article • Current Climate Change Reports, October 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    matthew huber, Professor Ghil Michael

  83. Publisher's Note: Comment on “Nonparametric forecasting of low-dimensional dynamical systems” [Phys. Rev. E93, 036201 (2016)]

    Article • Physical Review E, August 2016, American Physical Society (APS)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  84. Economic Cycles and Their Synchronization: A Comparison of Cyclic Modes in Three European Countries

    Article • Journal of Business Cycle Research, August 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  85. Interannual Variability in North Atlantic Weather: Data Analysis and a Quasigeostrophic Model

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, August 2016, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  86. Exploring the Pullback Attractors of a Low-Order Quasigeostrophic Ocean Model: The Deterministic Case

    Article • Journal of Climate, June 2016, American Meteorological Society

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  87. DADA: data assimilation for the detection and attribution of weather and climate-related events

    Article • Climatic Change, March 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  88. Comment on “Nonparametric forecasting of low-dimensional dynamical systems ”

    Article • Physical Review E, March 2016, American Physical Society (APS)

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  89. Low-dimensional galerkin approximations of nonlinear delay differential equations

    Article • Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, March 2016, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  90. Data‐adaptive detection of transient deformation in geodetic networks

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, March 2016, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  91. Pathogens trigger top-down climate forcing on ecosystem dynamics

    Article • Oecologia, February 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Leif Asbjørn Vøllestad, Professor Ghil Michael

  92. Data assimilation of low‐altitude magnetic perturbations into a global magnetosphere model

    Article • Space Weather, February 2016, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  93. Causal Counterfactual Theory for the Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Events

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, January 2016, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  94. Singular Spectrum Analysis for Astronomical Time Series: Constructing a Parsimonious Hypothesis Test

    Article • January 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  95. Extreme Events

    Article • December 2015, Wiley

    Professor Ghil Michael

  96. Bifurcation analysis of an agent-based model for predator–prey interactions

    Article • Ecological Modelling, December 2015, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  97. Article • OECD Journal Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, October 2015, OECD

    Professor Ghil Michael

  98. Monte Carlo Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) Revisited: Detecting Oscillator Clusters in Multivariate Datasets

    Article • Journal of Climate, October 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  99. An end-to-end assessment of extreme weather impacts on food security

    Article • Nature Climate Change, August 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  100. Low-frequency variability and heat transport in a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean–atmosphere model

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, August 2015, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  101. Oscillations in a simple climate–vegetation model

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, May 2015, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  102. Impact of Anomalous Northward Oceanic Heat Transport on Global Climate in a Slab Ocean Setting

    Article • Journal of Climate, April 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  103. A collection on 'Climate dynamics: multiple scales and memory effects'

    Article • Proceedings of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, March 2015, Royal Society Publishing

    Professor Ghil Michael , Mickael Chekroun

  104. Predicting Critical Transitions in ENSO models. Part II: Spatially Dependent Models

    Article • Journal of Climate, March 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  105. Predicting Critical Transitions in ENSO Models. Part I: Methodology and Simple Models with Memory

    Article • Journal of Climate, March 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  106. Data-driven non-Markovian closure models

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, March 2015, Elsevier

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  107. Weather types across the Maritime Continent: from the diurnal cycle to interannual variations

    Article • Frontiers in Environmental Science, January 2015, Frontiers

    Professor Ghil Michael

  108. Multispectral analysis of Northern Hemisphere temperature records over the last five millennia

    Article • Climate Dynamics, September 2014, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  109. Parameter estimation for energy balance models with memory

    Article • Proceedings of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, July 2014, Royal Society Publishing

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  110. Understanding Multidecadal Climate Changes

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, February 2014, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  111. Rough parameter dependence in climate models and the role of Ruelle-Pollicott resonances

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, January 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  112. Oscillatory Climate Modes in the Indian Monsoon, North Atlantic, and Tropical Pacific

    Article • Journal of Climate, December 2013, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  113. Low‐order stochastic model and “past‐noise forecasting” of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, October 2013, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  114. Major dust events in Europe during marine isotope stage 5 (130–74 ka): a climatic interpretation of the "markers"

    Article • Climate of the Past, September 2013, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  115. Disconcerting learning on climate sensitivity and the uncertain future of uncertainty

    Article • Climatic Change, May 2013, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  116. Global modes of climate variability

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, May 2013, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  117. Major dust events in Europe during marine isotope stage 5 (130–74 ka): a climatic interpretation of the "markers"

    Article • May 2013, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  118. El Niño/Southern Oscillation

    Article • January 2013, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  119. Multiple equilibria and oscillatory modes in a mid-latitude ocean-forced atmospheric model

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, September 2012, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  120. Atmospheric Dynamics Triggered by an Oceanic SST Front in a Moist Quasigeostrophic Model

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, May 2012, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  121. Natural variability and anthropogenic effects in a Central Mediterranean core

    Article • Climate of the Past, April 2012, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  122. Atmospheric Circulations Induced by a Midlatitude SST Front: A GCM Study

    Article • Journal of Climate, March 2012, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  123. Impacts of Natural Disasters on a Dynamic Economy

    Article • SSRN Electronic Journal, January 2012, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  124. Impact of the modulated annual cycle and intraseasonal oscillation on daily-to-interannual rainfall variability across monsoonal India

    Article • Climate Dynamics, December 2011, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  125. BOOLEAN DELAY EQUATIONS ON NETWORKS IN ECONOMICS AND THE GEOSCIENCES

    Article • International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, December 2011, World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt

    Professor Ghil Michael

  126. An empirical stochastic model of sea-surface temperatures and surface winds over the Southern Ocean

    Article • Ocean Science, November 2011, Copernicus GmbH

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  127. Lognormal Kalman filter for assimilating phase space density data in the radiation belts

    Article • Space Weather, November 2011, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  128. Stochastic climate dynamics: Random attractors and time-dependent invariant measures

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, October 2011, Elsevier

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  129. Multivariate singular spectrum analysis and the road to phase synchronization

    Article • Physical Review E, September 2011, American Physical Society (APS)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  130. Predicting stochastic systems by noise sampling, and application to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, July 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  131. Extreme events: dynamics, statistics and prediction

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, May 2011, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  132. Reply to Roe and Baker's comment on "Another look at climate sensitivity" by Zaliapin and Ghil (2010)

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, February 2011, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  133. The Atmospheric Circulation over the North Atlantic as Induced by the SST Field

    Article • Journal of Climate, January 2011, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  134. Signatures of Nonlinear Dynamics in an Idealized Atmospheric Model

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, January 2011, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  135. Gap filling of solar wind data by singular spectrum analysis

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, August 2010, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  136. Oscillatory Climate Modes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Their Synchronization with the North Atlantic Oscillation

    Article • Journal of Climate, August 2010, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  137. Geophysical flows as dynamical systems: the influence of Hide's experiments

    Article • Astronomy & Geophysics, July 2010, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  138. Transport on river networks: A dynamic tree approach

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, June 2010, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  139. A delay differential model of ENSO variability – Part 2: Phase locking, multiple solutions and dynamics of extrema

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, March 2010, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  140. Another look at climate sensitivity

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, March 2010, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  141. Reduced models of atmospheric low-frequency variability: Parameter estimation and comparative performance

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, February 2010, Elsevier

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  142. Fixed points, stable manifolds, weather regimes, and their predictability

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, October 2009, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  143. Low-Cloud Fraction, Lower-Tropospheric Stability, and Large-Scale Divergence

    Article • Journal of Climate, September 2009, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  144. Two millennia of climate variability in the Central Mediterranean

    Article • Climate of the Past, May 2009, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  145. Zonal Flow Regime Changes in a GCM and in a Simple Quasigeostrophic Model: The Role of Stratospheric Dynamics

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, May 2009, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  146. Bifurcation Analysis of Ocean, Atmosphere, and Climate Models

    Article • January 2009, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  147. Boolean delay equations: A simple way of looking at complex systems

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, December 2008, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  148. Data Assimilation for a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model. Part II: Parameter Estimation

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, December 2008, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  149. Natural disasters impacting a macroeconomic model with endogenous dynamics

    Article • Ecological Economics, December 2008, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  150. Climate dynamics and fluid mechanics: Natural variability and related uncertainties

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, August 2008, Elsevier

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  151. Anthropogenic climate change: Scientific uncertainties and moral dilemmas

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, August 2008, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  152. Business cycles, bifurcations and chaos in a neo-classical model with investment dynamics

    Article • Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, July 2008, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  153. Clustering of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks: ENSO and MJO effects

    Article • Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, June 2008, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Suzana J. Camargo, Professor Ghil Michael

  154. A delay differential model of ENSO variability: parametric instability and the distribution of extremes

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, May 2008, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  155. Data assimilation as a nonlinear dynamical systems problem: Stability and convergence of the prediction-assimilation system

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, May 2008, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  156. A mechanistic model of mid-latitude decadal climate variability

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, May 2008, Elsevier

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  157. North Atlantic climate variability in coupled models and data

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, January 2008, Copernicus GmbH

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  158. Reanalysis of relativistic radiation belt electron fluxes using CRRES satellite data, a radial diffusion model, and a Kalman filter

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, December 2007, Wiley

    Dr Geoffrey D Reeves, Professor Ghil Michael

  159. Spatio‐temporal variability in a mid‐latitude ocean basin subject to periodic wind forcing

    Article • ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN, December 2007, Taylor & Francis

    Professor Ghil Michael

  160. A Kalman filter technique to estimate relativistic electron lifetimes in the outer radiation belt

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, October 2007, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  161. Development at the wildland–urban interface and the mitigation of forest-fire risk

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, September 2007, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Professor Ghil Michael

  162. A highly nonlinear coupled mode of decadal variability in a mid-latitude ocean–atmosphere model

    Article • Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, August 2007, Elsevier

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  163. Predicting weather regime transitions in Northern Hemisphere datasets

    Article • Climate Dynamics, July 2007, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  164. Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part I: General Properties

    Article • Journal of Climate, July 2007, American Meteorological Society

    Suzana J. Camargo, Professor Ghil Michael

  165. Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part II: Large-Scale Circulation and ENSO

    Article • Journal of Climate, July 2007, American Meteorological Society

    Suzana J. Camargo, Professor Ghil Michael

  166. Graphical models for statistical inference and data assimilation

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, June 2007, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  167. Weather Regime Prediction Using Statistical Learning

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, May 2007, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  168. Probabilistic clustering of extratropical cyclones using regression mixture models

    Article • Climate Dynamics, March 2007, Springer Science + Business Media

    Suzana J. Camargo, Professor Ghil Michael

  169. Reply to T. Schneider's comment on "Spatio-temporal filling of missing points in geophysical data sets"

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, January 2007, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  170. An Ensemble-Based Smoother with Retrospectively Updated Weights for Highly Nonlinear Systems

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, January 2007, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  171. Low-Frequency Variability in the Midlatitude Baroclinic Atmosphere Induced by an Oceanic Thermal Front

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, January 2007, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  172. Dynamical Origin of Low-Frequency Variability in a Highly Nonlinear Midlatitude Coupled Model

    Article • Journal of Climate, December 2006, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  173. Empirical Mode Reduction in a Model of Extratropical Low-Frequency Variability

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, July 2006, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  174. Spatio-temporal filling of missing points in geophysical data sets

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, May 2006, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  175. Estimating model parameters for an impact-produced shock-wave simulation: Optimal use of partial data with the extended Kalman filter

    Article • Journal of Computational Physics, May 2006, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  176. Multiple Regimes and Low-Frequency Oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere’s Zonal-Mean Flow

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, March 2006, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  177. Scale separation for moisture‐laden regions in the tropical atmosphere

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, January 2006, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  178. Averaging of time - periodic systems without a small parameter

    Article • Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, January 2006, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Mickael Chekroun, Professor Ghil Michael

  179. A Hierarchy of Data-Based ENSO Models

    Article • Journal of Climate, November 2005, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  180. Multilevel Regression Modeling of Nonlinear Processes: Derivation and Applications to Climatic Variability

    Article • Journal of Climate, November 2005, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  181. Homoclinic bifurcations in the quasi-geostrophic double-gyre circulation

    Article • Journal of Marine Research, September 2005, Journal of Marine Research/Yale

    Professor Ghil Michael

  182. Low‐frequency variability of the large‐scale ocean circulation: A dynamical systems approach

    Article • Reviews of Geophysics, September 2005, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  183. Bimodal Behavior in the Zonal Mean Flow of a Baroclinic β-Channel Model

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, June 2005, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  184. Oscillatory modes of extended Nile River records (A.D. 622–1922)

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, May 2005, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  185. On the diurnal cycle and susceptibility to aerosol concentration in a stratocumulus-topped mixed layer

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, April 2005, Wiley

    Professor Ghil Michael

  186. Structural Bifurcation of 2-D Nondivergent Flows with Dirichlet Boundary Conditions: Applications to Boundary-Layer Separation

    Article • SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, January 2005, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  187. Sensitivity Analysis of Cirrus Cloud Properties from High-Resolution Infrared Spectra. Part I: Methodology and Synthetic Cirrus

    Article • Journal of Climate, December 2004, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  188. Boundary-layer separation and adverse pressure gradient for 2-D viscous incompressible flow

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, October 2004, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  189. Interdecadal Variability in a Hybrid Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere–Sea Ice Model

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, July 2004, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  190. Mountain Torques and Northern Hemisphere Low-Frequency Variability. Part I: Hemispheric Aspects

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, June 2004, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  191. Mountain Torques and Northern Hemisphere Low-Frequency Variability.Part II: Regional Aspects

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, June 2004, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  192. Intrinsic and climatic factors in North-American animal population dynamics

    Article • BMC Ecology, May 2004, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  193. Data assimilation with an extended Kalman filter for impact-produced shock-wave dynamics

    Article • Journal of Computational Physics, May 2004, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  194. Low-Frequency Variability in the Midlatitude Atmosphere Induced by an Oceanic Thermal Front

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, May 2004, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  195. Rapid switch‐like sea ice growth and land ice–sea ice hysteresis

    Article • Paleoceanography, March 2004, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Dr roiy sayag, Professor Ghil Michael

  196. Weather Regimes and Preferred Transition Paths in a Three-Level Quasigeostrophic Model

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, March 2004, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  197. Qualitative properties of some evolution equations

    Article • Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, January 2004, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  198. Large‐scale and evaporation‐wind feedbacks in a box model of the tropical climate

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, November 2003, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  199. Low-Frequency Variability in a BaroclinicβChannel with Land–Sea Contrast*

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, September 2003, American Meteorological Society

    Sergey Kravtsov, Professor Ghil Michael

  200. Successive Refinements in Long‐Term Integrations of Planetary Orbits

    Article • The Astrophysical Journal, July 2003, American Astronomical Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  201. A Boolean Delay Equation Model of Colliding Cascades. Part I: Multiple Seismic Regimes

    Article • Journal of Statistical Physics, May 2003, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  202. A Boolean Delay Equation Model of Colliding Cascades. Part II: Prediction of Critical Transitions

    Article • Journal of Statistical Physics, May 2003, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  203. Low-Frequency Variability in Shallow-Water Models of the Wind-Driven Ocean Circulation. Part I: Steady-State Solution*

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, April 2003, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  204. Low-Frequency Variability in Shallow-Water Models of the Wind-Driven Ocean Circulation. Part II: Time-Dependent Solutions*

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, April 2003, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  205. Hopf Bifurcation in Quasi-geostrophic Channel Flow

    Article • SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, January 2003, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  206. Multiple regimes and low‐frequency oscillations in the Southern Hemisphere's zonal‐mean flow

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, November 2002, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  207. Baroclinic and barotropic aspects of the wind-driven ocean circulation

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, July 2002, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  208. Successive bifurcations in a simple model of atmospheric zonal-flow vacillation

    Article • Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, June 2002, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  209. Probing near‐surface atmospheric turbulence with high‐resolution lidar measurements and models

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, May 2002, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  210. Data Assimilation for a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model. Part I: Sequential State Estimation

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, May 2002, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  211. “Waves” vs. “particles” in the atmosphere's phase space: A pathway to long-range forecasting?

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, February 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Professor Ghil Michael

  212. ADVANCED SPECTRAL METHODS FOR CLIMATIC TIME SERIES

    Article • Reviews of Geophysics, February 2002, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  213. Phase relations between climate proxy records: Potential effect of seasonal precipitation changes

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, January 2002, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  214. A Boolean delay equation model of ENSO variability

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, December 2001, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  215. Atmospheric radiative equilibria. Part II: bimodal solutions for atmospheric optical properties

    Article • Climate Dynamics, November 2001, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  216. Hilbert problems for the geosciences in the 21st century

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, October 2001, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  217. A Climatology of Turbulent Dispersion in the Troposphere

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, August 2001, American Meteorological Society

    matthew huber, Professor Ghil Michael

  218. Experimental and numerical studies of an eastward jet over topography

    Article • Journal of Fluid Mechanics, July 2001, Cambridge University Press

    Professor Ghil Michael

  219. Transition to Aperiodic Variability in a Wind-Driven Double-Gyre Circulation Model

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, May 2001, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  220. mountain torques and atmospheric oscillations

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, April 2001, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  221. Probing near-surface atmospheric turbulence with lidar measurements and high-resolution hydrodynamic models

    Article • February 2001, SPIE

    Professor Ghil Michael

  222. Structural bifurcation of 2-D incompressible flows

    Article • Indiana University Mathematics Journal, January 2001, Indiana University Mathematics Journal

    Professor Ghil Michael

  223. DAMÉE-NAB: the base experiments

    Article • Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, August 2000, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  224. Data-adaptive wavelets and multi-scale singular-spectrum analysis

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, August 2000, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  225. Error evolution in the dynamics of an ocean general circulation model

    Article • Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, August 2000, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  226. Pacific interdecadal variability in this century's sea surface temperatures

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, August 2000, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  227. Interdecadal Changes in Atmospheric Low-Frequency Variability with and without Boundary Forcing*

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, April 2000, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  228. Intraseasonal Variability in a Two-Layer Model and Observations

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, April 2000, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  229. Solving Problems with GCMs: General Circulation Models and Their Role in the Climate Modeling Hierarchy

    Article • January 2000, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  230. Multiple Regimes in Northern Hemisphere Height Fields via MixtureModel Clustering*

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, November 1999, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  231. Climatic trends and interdecadal variability from south‐central Pacific coral records

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, September 1999, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  232. Jupiter, Saturn, and the Edge of Chaos

    Article • Icarus, June 1999, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  233. Large-Scale Weather Regimes and Local Climate over the Western United States

    Article • Journal of Climate, June 1999, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  234. Models of solar irradiance variability and the instrumental temperature record

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, May 1999, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  235. A Box Model for the paleoceanography of the Black Sea

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, February 1999, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  236. Mass-Weighted Symplectic Forms for the N-Body Problem

    Article • Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy, November 1998, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  237. Trends, interdecadal and interannual oscillations in global sea-surface temperatures

    Article • Climate Dynamics, June 1998, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  238. Nonlinear Stability for Saddle Solutions of Ideal Flows and Symmetry Breaking

    Article • Communications in Mathematical Physics, May 1998, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  239. The Combined Effects of Cold-Nebula Drag and Mean-Motion Resonances

    Article • Icarus, March 1998, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  240. Seasonal and interannual variations of atmospheric CO2 and climate

    Article • Tellus B, February 1998, Stockholm University Press

    Professor Ghil Michael

  241. Recent forecast skill for the El Niño/Southern Oscillation

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, January 1998, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  242. Extended Kalman filtering for vortex systems. Part 1: Methodology and point vortices

    Article • Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, January 1998, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  243. Extended Kalman filtering for vortex systems. Part II: Rankine vortices and observing-system design

    Article • Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, January 1998, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  244. Seasonal and interannual variations of atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> and climate

    Article • Tellus B, January 1998, Stockholm University Press

    Professor Ghil Michael

  245. Transitions Between Blocked and Zonal Flows in a Rotating Annulus with Topography

    Article • Science, November 1997, American Association for the Advancement of Science

    Professor Ghil Michael

  246. Linear Instability of a Zonal Jet on anfPlane*

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, November 1997, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  247. <title>The SSA-MTM Toolkit: applications to analysis and prediction of time series</title>

    Article • October 1997, SPIE

    Professor Ghil Michael

  248. Atmospheric radiative equilibria in a simple column model

    Article • Climate Dynamics, July 1997, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  249. Stability of a front separating water masses with different stratifications

    Article • Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, May 1997, Taylor & Francis

    Professor Ghil Michael

  250. Advances in Sequential Estimation for Atmospheric and Oceanic Flows (gtSpecial IssueltData Assimilation in Meteology and Oceanography: Theory and Practice)

    Article • Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, January 1997, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  251. Tracking Nonlinear Solutions with Simulated Altimetric Data in a Shallow-Water Model*

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, January 1997, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  252. Unified Notation for Data Assimilation : Operational, Sequential and Variational (gtSpecial IssueltData Assimilation in Meteology and Oceanography: Theory and Practice)

    Article • Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, January 1997, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  253. El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the annual cycle: subharmonic frequency-locking and aperiodicity

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, November 1996, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  254. Tracking Atmospheric Instabilities with the Kalman Filter. Part II: Two-Layer Results

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, October 1996, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  255. Interdecadal Variability in a Hybrid Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, August 1996, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  256. An extension of Arnol'd's second stability theorem for the Euler equations

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, July 1996, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  257. The Extratropical 40-Day Oscillation in the UCLA General Circulation Model. Part II: Spatial Structure

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, July 1996, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  258. Mixed barotropic-baroclinic eddies growing on an eastward mid-latitude jet

    Article • Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, June 1996, Taylor & Francis

    Professor Ghil Michael

  259. Successive bifurcations in a shallow-water model applied to the wind-driven ocean circulation

    Article • Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, December 1995, Copernicus GmbH

    Professor Ghil Michael

  260. Quasi-quadrennial and quasi-biennial variability in the equatorial Pacific

    Article • Climate Dynamics, December 1995, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  261. Interdecadal Variability of the Thermohaline Circulation and High-Latitude Surface Fluxes

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, November 1995, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  262. Interannual and interdecadal variability in United States surface-air temperatures, 1910-87

    Article • Climatic Change, September 1995, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  263. Intraseasonal Oscillations in a Barotropic Model with Annual Cycle, and Their Predictability

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, August 1995, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  264. Interannual and interdecadal oscillation patterns in sea level

    Article • Climate Dynamics, July 1995, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  265. Stability of quasi-geostrophic flow in a periodic channel

    Article • Physics Letters A, June 1995, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  266. Multiple equilibria and stable oscillations in thermosolutal convection at small aspect ratio

    Article • Journal of Fluid Mechanics, May 1995, Cambridge University Press

    Professor Ghil Michael

  267. Interannual and Interdecadal Variability in 335 Years of Central England Temperatures

    Article • Science, May 1995, American Association for the Advancement of Science

    Professor Ghil Michael

  268. Multiple Equilibria, Periodic, and Aperiodic Solutions in a Wind-Driven, Double-Gyre, Shallow-Water Model

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, May 1995, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  269. Simulation of the Tropical Pacific Climate with a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Model. Part I: The Seasonal Cycle

    Article • Journal of Climate, May 1995, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  270. Simulation of the Tropical Pacific Climate with a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Model. Part II: Interannual Variability

    Article • Journal of Climate, May 1995, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  271. Singularly weighted symplectic forms and applications to asteroid motion

    Article • Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy, May 1995, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  272. Software expedites singular‐spectrum analysis of noisy time series

    Article • Eos, January 1995, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  273. A model equation for nonlinear wavelength selection and amplitude evolution of frontal waves

    Article • Journal of Nonlinear Science, December 1994, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  274. A New Frontal Instability: Theory and ERICA Observations

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, November 1994, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  275. Workshop tackles oceanic thermohaline circulation

    Article • Eos, October 1994, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  276. Cryothermodynamics: the chaotic dynamics of paleoclimate

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, October 1994, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  277. Data Assimilation in a Simple Tropical Ocean Model with Wind Stress Errors

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, October 1994, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  278. An Approach to Statistical Spatial-Temporal Modeling of Meteorological Fields: Comment

    Article • Journal of the American Statistical Association, June 1994, JSTOR

    Professor Ghil Michael

  279. Comment

    Article • Journal of the American Statistical Association, June 1994, Taylor & Francis

    Professor Ghil Michael

  280. Nonlinear variability of the climatic system from singular and power spectra of Late Quaternary records

    Article • Climate Dynamics, June 1994, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  281. The Extratropical 40-Day Oscillation in the UCLA General Circulation Model. Part I: Atmospheric Angular Momentum

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, June 1994, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  282. Advanced Data Assimilation in Strongly Nonlinear Dynamical Systems

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, April 1994, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  283. El Niño on the Devil's Staircase: Annual Subharmonic Steps to Chaos

    Article • Science, April 1994, American Association for the Advancement of Science

    Professor Ghil Michael

  284. Tracking Atmospheric Instabilities with the Kalman Filter. Part 1: Methodology and One-Layer Resultst

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, January 1994, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  285. A simple coastal ocean model for the Central California Basin during Late Miocene

    Article • Paleoceanography, December 1993, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  286. Dynamical Properties of Error Statistics in a Shallow-Water Model

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, December 1993, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  287. Dissolved organic matter and the glacial‐interglacial pCO2 problem

    Article • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, December 1993, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  288. Intraseasonal Variability in a Barotropic Model with Seasonal Forcing

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, September 1993, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  289. Forecasting Northern Hemisphere 700-mb Geopotential Height Anomalies Using Empirical Normal Modes

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, August 1993, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  290. Multiple Flow Regimes in the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Part I: Methodology and Hemispheric Regimes

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, August 1993, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  291. Multiple Flow Regimes in the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Part II: Sectorial Regimes and Preferred Transitions

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, August 1993, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  292. Climate evolution in the Pliocene and Pleistocene from marine‐sediment records and simulations: Internal variability versus orbital forcing

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, June 1993, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  293. ADAPTIVE FILTERING AND PREDICTION OF NOISY MULTIVARIATE SIGNALS: AN APPLICATION TO SUBANNUAL VARIABILITY IN ATMOSPHERIC ANGULAR MOMENTUM

    Article • International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, June 1993, World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt

    Professor Ghil Michael

  294. Downwelling-Front Instability and Eddy Formation in the Eastern Mediterranean

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, January 1993, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  295. Adaptive filtering and prediction of the Southern Oscillation index

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, December 1992, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  296. Multiple equilibria in thermosolutal convection due to salt-flux boundary conditions

    Article • Journal of Fluid Mechanics, December 1992, Cambridge University Press

    Professor Ghil Michael

  297. Singular-spectrum analysis: A toolkit for short, noisy chaotic signals

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, September 1992, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  298. Extreme weather events

    Article • Nature, August 1992, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  299. Non-Hamiltonian Perturbations of Integrable Systems and Resonance Trapping

    Article • SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, August 1992, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  300. Reply to comments by P. Ripa

    Article • Physics of Fluids A Fluid Dynamics, March 1992, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  301. Tropical air-sea interaction in general circulation models

    Article • Climate Dynamics, March 1992, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  302. Adaptive filtering and maximum entropy spectra with application to changes in atmospheric angular momentum

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, December 1991, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  303. Extratropical aspects of the 40–50 day oscillation in length‐of‐day and atmospheric angular momentum

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, December 1991, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  304. Nonlinear Symmetric Instability and Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Tropical Atmosphere

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, December 1991, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  305. High‐frequency paleovariability in climate and CO2 levels from Vostok Ice Core Records

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, November 1991, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  306. Shortwave instabilities of coastal currents

    Article • Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, July 1991, Taylor & Francis

    Professor Ghil Michael

  307. Intraseasonal Variability of the Winter Circulation in the Southern Hemisphere Atmosphere

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, June 1991, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  308. Interdecadal oscillations and the warming trend in global temperature time series

    Article • Nature, March 1991, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  309. Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Global Atmosphere. Part I: Northern Hemisphere and Tropics

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, March 1991, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  310. Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Global Atmosphere. Part II: Southern Hemisphere

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, March 1991, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  311. Stability of propagating modons for small-amplitude perturbations

    Article • Physics of Fluids A Fluid Dynamics, March 1991, American Institute of Physics

    Professor Ghil Michael

  312. Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability in the Atmospheric Sciences

    Article • Reviews of Geophysics, January 1991, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  313. Data Assimilation in Meteorology and Oceanography

    Article • January 1991, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  314. Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Extratropics: Hopf Bifurcation and Topographic Instabilities

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, December 1990, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  315. Low-Frequency Oscillations in a Rotating Annulus with Topography

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, December 1990, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  316. Statistical Significance Test for Transition Matrices of Atmospheric Markov Chains

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, August 1990, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  317. Stability of stationary barotropic modons by Lyapunov's direct method

    Article • Journal of Fluid Mechanics, February 1990, Cambridge University Press

    Professor Ghil Michael

  318. Finite-Wavelength Instabilities of a Coupled Density Front

    Article • Journal of Physical Oceanography, January 1990, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  319. Empirical Orthogonal Functions and Multiple Flow Regimes in the Southern Hemisphere Winter

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, October 1989, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  320. Meteorological data assimilation for oceanographers. Part I: Description and theoretical framework

    Article • Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, June 1989, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  321. Singular spectrum analysis in nonlinear dynamics, with applications to paleoclimatic time series

    Article • Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, May 1989, Elsevier

    Professor Ghil Michael

  322. Transition to two-dimensional turbulent convection in a rapidly-rotating annulus

    Article • Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, May 1989, Taylor & Francis

    Professor Ghil Michael

  323. Cluster analysis of multiple planetary flow regimes

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, September 1988, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  324. Isotopic modeling of climatic oscillations: Implications for a comparative study of marine and ice core records

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, August 1988, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  325. The Generation Mechanism of Mixed Rossby-Gravity Waves in the Equatorial Troposphere

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, February 1988, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  326. Global surface wind and flux fields from model assimilation of Seasat data

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, June 1987, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  327. Deep water formation and Quaternary glaciations

    Article • Climate Dynamics, May 1987, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  328. Statistics and Dynamics of Persistent Anomalies

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, March 1987, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  329. An efficient algorithm for estimating noise covariances in distributed systems

    Article • IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, November 1985, Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  330. Boolean delay equations. II. Periodic and aperiodic solutions

    Article • Journal of Statistical Physics, October 1985, Springer Science + Business Media

    Professor Ghil Michael

  331. Persistent Anomalies, Blocking and Variations in Atmospheric Predictability

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, March 1985, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  332. Climate sensitivity, energy balance models, and oscillatory climate models

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, February 1984, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  333. Boolean Difference Equations, I: Formulation and Dynamic Behavior

    Article • SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, February 1984, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  334. Global Hopf Bifurcation in a Simple Climate Model

    Article • SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, October 1983, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  335. Orbital forcing, climatic interactions, and glaciation cycles

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, June 1983, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  336. A Stochastic-Dynamic Model for the Spatial Structure of Forecast Error Statistics

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, April 1983, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  337. Internal Variability of an Energy-Balance Model with Delayed Albedo Effects

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, August 1982, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  338. The Effect of Model Resolution and Satellite Sounding Data on GLAS Model Forecasts

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, July 1982, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  339. A climate model with cryodynamics and geodynamics

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, June 1981, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  340. Comments on “Seasonal Simulation as a Test for Uncertainties in the Parameterization of a Budyko-Sellers Zonal Climate Model.”

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, March 1981, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  341. Reply

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, January 1981, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  342. Free Oscillations in a Climate Model with Ice-Sheet Dynamics

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, December 1979, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  343. A Fast Cauchy-Riemann Solver

    Article • Mathematics of Computation, April 1979, JSTOR

    Professor Ghil Michael

  344. Time-Continuous Assimilation of Remote-Sounding Data and Its Effect an Weather Forecasting

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, February 1979, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  345. A fast Cauchy-Riemann solver

    Article • Mathematics of Computation, January 1979, American Mathematical Society (AMS)

    Professor Ghil Michael

  346. A Balanced Diagnostic System Compatible with a Barotropic Prognostic Model

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, October 1977, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  347. Climate Stability for a Sellers-Type Model

    Article • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, January 1976, American Meteorological Society

    Professor Ghil Michael

  348. Heat Transfer through a Rankine Vortex

    Article • Journal of Heat Transfer, February 1973, ASME International

    Professor Ghil Michael

  349. Discussion: “Heat Transfer From the Rear of a Cylinder in Transverse Flow” (Virk, P. S., 1970, ASME J. Heat Transfer, 92, pp. 206–207)

    Article • Journal of Heat Transfer, August 1971, ASME International

    Professor Ghil Michael

  350. Using extended Kalman filter for data assimilation and uncertainty quantification in shock-wave dynamics

    Article • Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

    Professor Ghil Michael