All Stories

  1. Using structural break inference for forecasting time series
  2. The Gains from Catch‐up for China and the USA: An Empirical Framework
  3. China's increasing global influence: Changes in international growth linkages
  4. The asymptotic behaviour of the residual sum of squares in models with multiple break points
  5. What is the globalisation of inflation?
  6. Changes in the global oil market
  7. Introduction to the JTSA John Nankervis Memorial Issue
  8. Growth in China and the US: Effects on a small commodity exporter economy
  9. Structural Break Inference Using Information Criteria in Models Estimated by Two-Stage Least Squares
  10. The Performance of Lag Selection and Detrending Methods for HEGY Seasonal Unit Root Tests
  11. International Transmissions to Australia: The Roles of the USA and Euro Area
  12. Editors' Introduction to Special Issue of the Manchester School on Structural Breaks and Monetary Policy
  13. Inference on Structural Breaks using Information Criteria
  14. Structural Breaks in the International Dynamics of Inflation
  15. MODELLING LARGE OPEN ECONOMIES WITH INTERNATIONAL LINKAGES: THE USA AND EURO AREA
  16. Identifying Changes in Mean, Seasonality, Persistence and Volatility for G7 and Euro Area Inflation*
  17. Ratio-based estimators for a change point in persistence
  18. A threshold cointegration analysis of interest rate pass-through to UK mortgage rates
  19. ON AUGMENTED HEGY TESTS FOR SEASONAL UNIT ROOTS
  20. Non‐parametric testing for seasonally and periodically integrated processes
  21. Financial integration and the construction of historical financial data for the Euro Area
  22. HEGY Tests in the Presence of Moving Averages*
  23. WEIGHTED SMOOTH TRANSITION REGRESSIONS
  24. Modelling real exchange rate effects on output performance in Latin America
  25. Spillovers and correlations between US and major European stock markets: the role of the euro
  26. Co‐movements between US and UK stock prices: the role of time‐varying conditional correlations
  27. Observed Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
  28. UK INFLATION: PERSISTENCE, SEASONALITY AND MONETARY POLICY
  29. Business cycle synchronization of the euro area with the new and negotiating member countries
  30. Changes in the order of integration of US and UK inflation
  31. The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices
  32. Periodic Dynamic Conditional Correlations between Stock Markets in Europe and the US
  33. TESTING FOR SEASONAL UNIT ROOTS IN PERIODIC INTEGRATED AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES
  34. The effect of seasonal adjustment on the properties of business cycle regimes
  35. COINTEGRATION FOR PERIODICALLY INTEGRATED PROCESSES
  36. PUBLIC EXPENDITURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A DISAGGREGATED ANALYSIS FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES*
  37. Business cycle affiliations in the context of European integration
  38. The International Business Cycle in a Changing World: Volatility and the Propagation of Shocks in the G-7
  39. Chapter 13 Forecasting Seasonal Time Series
  40. Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks
  41. Nonlinearity in the Fed's monetary policy rule
  42. Does seasonality change over the business cycle? An investigation using monthly industrial production series
  43. Linear versus neural network forecasts for European industrial production series
  44. Domestic and international influences on business cycle regimes in Europe
  45. The Prediction of Business Cycle Phases: Financial Variables and International Linkages
  46. Asymmetric Interest Rate Effects for the UK Real Economy*
  47. ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTIONS OF SEASONAL UNIT ROOT TESTS: A UNIFYING APPROACH
  48. Modelling Property Crime Using the British Crime Survey. What Have We Learnt?
  49. The Phenomena of Multiple Victimization. The Relationship between Personal and Property Crime Risk
  50. Forecasting UK industrial production over the business cycle
  51. Predicting UK Business Cycle Regimes
  52. Modelling Business Cycle Movements in the UK Economy
  53. Performance of seasonal unit root tests for monthly data
  54. Predicting U.S. Business-Cycle Regimes
  55. Seasonal unit roots and forecasts of two-digit European industrial production
  56. The Distribution of Household Property Crimes
  57. Business Cycles for G7 and European Countries
  58. Are repeatedly victimized households different?
  59. Predicting Turning Points in the UK Inflation Cycle
  60. TURNING POINT PREDICTION FOR THE UK USING CSO LEADING INDICATORS
  61. Property Crime Victimisation: The Roles of Individual and Area Influences
  62. The Modelling of Threats: Evidence from the British Crime Survey
  63. Seasonal cointegration
  64. Area characteristics and regional variates as determinants of area property crime levels
  65. WHAT IS DIFFERENT ABOUT HIGH CRIME AREAS?
  66. The implications of periodically varying coefficients for seasonal time-series processes
  67. A survey of seasonality in UK macroeconomic variables
  68. The Performance of Periodic Autoregressive Models in Forecasting Seasonal U.K. Consumption
  69. SEASONALITY AND THE ORDER OF INTEGRATION FOR CONSUMPTION*
  70. Seasonality and habit persistence in a life cycle model of consumption