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  1. Using Large Language Models to Forecast Local Government Revenue

    Article • Public Finance Journal, October 2025, Government Finance Officers Association

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  2. Evaluating the Comparative Accuracy of COVID-19 Mortality Forecasts: An Analysis of the First-Wave Mortality Forecasts in the United States

    Article • Forecasting, September 2022, MDPI AG

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  3. For Better or Worse? Revenue Forecasting with Machine Learning Approaches

    Article • Public Performance & Management Review, May 2022, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  4. Local governments’ responses to the fiscal stress label: the case of New York

    Article • Local Government Studies, July 2020, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  5. Building and Maintaining Solid Infrastructure in the Town of Gilbert

    Article • National Civic Review, June 2017, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  6. The City of Boulder and Recreational Marijuana: Forecasting Under Extreme Uncertainty

    Article • National Civic Review, June 2017, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  7. Turning Around the City of Baltimore with Long-Term Forecasting and Scenario Analysis

    Article • National Civic Review, December 2016, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  8. The Status of Budget Forecasting

    Article • Journal of Public and Nonprofit Affairs, November 2016, Journal of Public and Nonprofit Affairs

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  9. State Legislative Earmarks

    Article • State and Local Government Review, April 2015, SAGE Publications

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  10. Measuring Policey Performance without Unintended Consequences

    Article • Public Performance & Management Review, March 2015, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  11. The Evolution of the Performance Model from Black Box to the Logic Model Through Systems Thinking

    Article • International Journal of Public Administration, November 2014, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  12. The Rube Goldberg Machine of Budget Implementation, or Is There a Structural Deficit in the New York City Budget?

    Article • Public Budgeting &amp Finance, November 2013, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  13. The Politics of Forecast Bias: Forecaster Effect and Other Effects in New York City Revenue Forecasting

    Article • Public Budgeting &amp Finance, December 2012, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  14. Answers in Search of a Question

    Article • Public Administration Review, January 2011, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  15. Teaching Budget Tools

    Article • Public Administration Review, November 2009, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  16. Your Money or Your Life

    Article • Public Administration Review, January 2009, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  17. What’s the Matter with Political and Social Science?

    Article • Public Administration Review, January 2009, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  18. Book Reviews

    Article • Public Integrity, July 2008, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  19. Déjà Vu All Over Again

    Article • The American Review of Public Administration, June 2008, SAGE Publications

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  20. Preparing Data for Forecasting

    Article • March 2008, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  21. Making Political Science Matter: Debating Knowledge, Research, and Method

    Article • Journal of the American Planning Association, January 2008, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  22. Seasonality

    Article • December 2007, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  23. Life Cycle Costing

    Article • December 2007, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  24. Forecasting Methods for Serial Data

    Article • November 2007, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  25. How Political Support Influences Red Tape through Developmental Culture

    Article • Policy Studies Journal, August 2007, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  26. Book Reviews

    Article • Public Integrity, July 2007, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  27. The Old World

    Article • Public Administration Review, November 2006, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  28. The Democratic Sex: Gender Differences and the Exercise of Power

    Article • Journal of Women Politics & Policy, April 2006, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  29. In the Beginning

    Article • Public Administration Review, March 2006, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  30. Damping seasonal factors: Shrinkage estimators for the X-12-ARIMA program

    Article • International Journal of Forecasting, October 2004, Elsevier

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  31. Evolution of Performance Measurement Until 1930

    Article • Administration & Society, May 2004, SAGE Publications

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  32. Measuring Government in the Early Twentieth Century

    Article • Public Administration Review, October 2003, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  33. Shrinkage estimators of time series seasonal factors and their effect on forecasting accuracy

    Article • International Journal of Forecasting, October 2003, Elsevier

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  34. Before Performance Measurement

    Article • Administrative Theory & Praxis, May 2002, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  35. Reinventing the Proverbs of Government

    Article • Public Administration Review, November 2000, Wiley

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  36. Level-adjusted exponential smoothing for modeling planned discontinuities

    Article • International Journal of Forecasting, July 1999, Elsevier

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams

  37. Criteria for evaluating revenue options: a comprehensive view

    Article • International Journal of Public Administration, January 1999, Taylor & Francis

    Prof. Dan (Daniel) W. Williams